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Disney call: Challenging year ahead, 'opportunities' at ESPN, shares +2.7%

Published 11/10/2016, 06:06 PM
Disney call: Challenging year ahead, 'opportunities' at ESPN, shares +2.7%
DIS
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  • Disney (NYSE:DIS) has erased postmarket losses and headed sharply to positive ground (now up 2.7%) during its just-finished earnings call, during which CEO Bob Iger weighed in on ESPN and the parks business, among other subjects.
  • The company had dipped as much as 4.5% in late trading after a miss in fiscal Q4 earnings.
  • As UBS alluded to earlier, 2017 will be a challenge with real strength waiting for 2018. The company expects "modest" EPS growth for the year, CFO Christine McCarthy says, with programming costs rising 8% in Cable Networks driven by the first year of the new NBA contract (making up $600M of that increase). Parks and Resorts will benefit from a new Avatar land as well as a full year of results from Shanghai.
  • ESPN saw declines on both the ad and affiliate side, but Iger sees "new opportunities, and new deals, to improve the rate structure even more." As for subscriber losses, he reiterated his previous belief that "the causes of those losses have abated, notably the migration to smaller packages ... but new entrants [digital MVPDs] will offer ESPN opportunities ... to reach more people." More millennials will stay in the multichannel ecosystem, or get in when they hadn't before, he said.
  • "There's a lot of premature speculation" about the drop in football ratings, in "a season where postseason baseball was very strong, the election had some impact, certainly the debates did. ... It's far too early to say we're concerned."
  • Iger mostly declined comment on the election, but said the company has urged government to take a look at the corporate tax rate. "We're no longer competitive with the rest of the world in that regard," he says. "If this week means that [reform] happens sooner rather than later ... that's obviously a good thing."
  • Worry not: "We've already prepared a bust of president-elect Trump to go into our Hall of Presidents at DisneyWorld," Iger says.

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