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Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch

Published 05/29/2018, 04:29 PM
© Reuters.  What to watch out for in tomorrow's session
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Investing.com - Here’s a preview of the top 3 things that could rock markets tomorrow

1. GDP, Labor Market Data, Beige Book in Focus

A slew of top-tier economic data including a penultimate reading of U.S. GDP could refocus the narrative on underlying U.S. economic strength after U.S. stocks fell sharply following a flight to quality amid Eurozone political concerns.

ADP nonfarm employment data due 8:15AM, which often serves as a precursor to the monthly nonfarm payrolls data slated for Friday, is expected to show 190,000 private sector jobs were created in May, slightly below the 204,000 jobs created in the prior month.

The penultimate reading of first-quarter U.S. GDP at 08:30am ET is expected to show the economy expanded 2.3%, in-line with the preliminary reading seen last month.

The Federal Reserve’s beige book at 2.00 p.m. ET, a report that includes anecdotal evidence on the health of the US economy from 12 regions, will be closely watched for any subtle change in commentary on inflation following dovish language seen in the Fed’s May meeting minutes.

The odds of a rate hike at the Fed’s June meeting have plunged to 77.5% from 90% last week, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

U.S.-China tensions is expected to garner attention as the U.S. administration said that it would move ahead with a proposed 25% tariff on $50 billion of Chinese high-tech goods next month.

Trade talks between the two nations will continue as the United States seeks to ensure China removes its trade barriers preventing U.S. businesses from doing business China.

The announcement comes as President Trump said last week that he was not satisfied with the progress of U.S. trade talks.

U.S.-North Korea relations will likely also be in focus after North Korea’s nuclear weapons negotiator, Kim Yong-chol travelled to New York on Tuesday ahead of meeting with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

The dollar rose sharply on Tuesday as Eurozone political angst pressured EUR/USD to 10-month lows.

2. API Data Eyed

A fresh batch of crude oil inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) is due Wednesday after data last week showed a fall in weekly crude U.S. crude stockpiles.

The American Petroleum Institute reported last Tuesday crude oil stockpiles fell by 1.3 million barrels. That was in sharp contrast to the Energy Information Administration report showing crude supplies rose by 5.778 million barrels.

Oil prices started the week on the back foot as traders continued to fret the prospect of higher crude output from Saudi Arabia and Russia to offset a potential supply shortage.

Worries over a potential supply shortage come amid falling Venezuela output and the pending U.S. sanctions against Iran expected to stifle the Islamic Republic’s exports.

Russian Energy Minister Novak reportedly said, however, the sanctions would affect only about 10% of Iranian output.

Crude oil futures on Tuesday settled 1.7% lower at $66.73 a barrel.

3. HP to Rally on US Open?

HP rose modestly in after-hours trade, following the release of fiscal second-quarter results showing a beat on the top line while earnings per share was in-line with consensus estimates.

The company reported earnings of 48 cents per share on $14 billion in revenue, compared to Wall Street estimates of earnings of 48 cents per share on $13.57 billion in revenue.

The company said it expects fiscal third-quarter non-GAAP earnings per share to be in the range of $0.49 to $0.52. Analysts had forecast $0.49.

Shares of HP Inc (NYSE:HPQ) rose 0.84% to $21.50 in after-hours trade after closing 2.78% down at $21.30.

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