👀 Ones to watch: Undervalued stocks to buy before they report Q3 earningsSee Undervalued Stocks

China hedge funds caught out by abrupt market surge

Published 10/17/2024, 02:07 AM
Updated 10/17/2024, 02:37 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk on an overpass with a display of stock information in front of buildings in the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Nicoco Chan/File Photo
CSI300
-
CIFc1
-

SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's abrupt and ferocious stock market rally has slammed some of the country's biggest hedge funds, forcing them to hastily cover short positions and take losses on their bets in the heavily regulated derivatives market.

Beijing X Asset Management, Techsharpe Quant (Beijing) Capital Management and Shenzhen Chengqi Funds are among the funds sideswiped when China's struggling stocks recovered a quarter of their value in less than a week in late September, following a raft of stimulus measures.

Their losses stemmed from short positions in China's stock index derivatives, which market-neutral fund strategies perforce use to hedge equity holdings.

Market euphoria as China showed serious intent to fix its ailing economy drove futures prices up sharply, causing losses on those positions that could not be offset by gains in cash holdings.

British hedge fund giant Winton's trend-following strategy was also upended by China's unexpected market reversal, forcing the firm to quickly unwind its bearish bets.

Regulators have clamped down on data-driven quant funds and tightened curbs on stock short-selling this year, rendering the market prone to wild swings, said Hu Bo, fund manager at Shanghai Professional Fund Management Co.

Hu said the drawdowns underscore the risk of relying too heavily on one strategy in China's moody market.

"Every strategy tends to hit the wall after a period of outperformance," Hu said. So, investors need to "embrace diversified investment strategies, and make more in-depth research."

Beijing X, which manages more than 10 billion yuan ($1.40 billion), recorded a drawdown - a peak-to-trough decline in value - of 5.6% in its hedging strategy in late September, according to broker data. Techsharpe suffered a drawdown of 5.2%, and Shenzhen Chengqi Funds 4.6%.

An index tracking China's "market neutral" strategies recorded a drawdown of 4.83% during the last week of September, and has barely recovered since. The correction is the second biggest in history, and rare for products designed to deliver absolute returns.

Chinese markets have been on a wild ride since Sept.24, when authorities unveiled rate cuts and policies aimed at salvaging this year's 5% economic growth target. The CSI300 index is up 20% since then.

"Quantitative strategies work only in a balanced market," said Tim Cao, a Shanghai-based hedge fund manager who is now switching to qualitative analysis. "In a crazy market, nearly all quant models become ineffective."

Winton declined to comment. Beijing X, Techsharpe and Chengqi Funds did not reply to Reuters' requests for comment.

QUANT QUAKE

Chinese index futures typically trade at a lower price than the stock indexes they are linked to, due to a shortage of tools that allow bearish short positions in mainland markets.

That perpetual discount turned overnight into a premium, dealing a blow to hedge funds.

On September 30, the spread between the CSI300 index futures and the underlying benchmark index shot up to 142.80 points, the biggest in nine years. That blow-out nullified funds' hedging strategies as futures no longer helped offset positions in the stock market.

The swift change in the trend also upset trend-following strategies, such as at Winton. An index tracking trend-following strategies posted its first weekly loss in a month.

Winton, which manages around 6 billion yuan in China, suffered a roughly 8% drawdown, according to investors.

The money manager told investors in a recent meeting that bearish bets on Chinese stocks, energy and base metals affected performance, according to a memo obtained by Reuters.

Short positions in stock index futures had been unwound, while bearish commodities bets had been slashed by a third, Winton told investors.

Hedge funds operating in China have faced such pressures before. In February, market liquidity in smaller stocks seized up in what some dubbed China's "quant quake".

Investors expect these funds will take time to recover. China Merchants Bank's wealth management unit asked investors to be patient, and advised them against redeeming the products in haste.

"For funds who were forced to close short positions due to margin calls, the wounds won't be healed anytime soon," said Yuan Yuwei, founder and CIO of Water Wisdom Asset Management.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk on an overpass with a display of stock information in front of buildings in the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Nicoco Chan/File Photo

($1 = 7.1226 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(This story has been refiled to add closing quotation mark in paragraph 8)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.