Investing.com -- Chevron Corporation has been named a top pick by Bank of America analysts heading into a "pivotal 2025."
The firm reiterated its Buy rating on the stock and raised its price target from $168 to $180, citing stronger free cash flow (FCF) projections driven by project milestones, cost reductions, and strategic clarity.
BofA highlighted that Chevron (NYSE:CVX)'s Gulf of Mexico (GoM), Tengizchevroil (TCO), and Chevron Phillips Chemical (CP Chem) projects are expected to add $5.5 billion in FCF over the next 2-3 years.
The firm also noted that these contributions remain "underappreciated by investors" amid uncertainties surrounding Chevron's arbitration with Hess (NYSE:HES), a decision expected in the second quarter of 2025.
"We believe that if they win Hess next year (arbitration scheduled for 2Q25), the stock could be up materially as this overhang is removed," said BofA. "We believe that if they lose, the stock could be down slightly but share price could be limited until there is resolution on what they will do instead."
Despite the potential downside, if Chevron loses the Hess arbitration, BofA believes its robust portfolio can also minimize the long-term impact.
BofA's bullish stance on the stock is also supported by its confidence in Chevron's TCO project, which remains on track for a first-half 2025 start, and recent additional cost cuts totaling $2–$3 billion.
The faster-than-expected plateau in Permian production is also projected to further enhance FCF.
Analysts see 2025 as a defining year with multiple potential catalysts, including developments in refining, biofuels, and Venezuela.
Chevron's proactive cost management and significant project advancements position it favorably in a competitive energy landscape, BofA noted, making it a compelling investment opportunity as the new year approaches.