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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rally on Chinese, U.S. data as euro gains

Published 06/14/2011, 02:04 PM
Updated 06/14/2011, 02:08 PM
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* Less grim Chinese, U.S. data revive investor optimism

* Chinese inflation high but within central bank control

* Global stocks rally; S&P pct rise biggest since April

* Euro, oil, gold strengthen; bonds tumble (Recasts lead, updates market action, adds fresh quote)

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK, June 14 (Reuters) - Chinese data showing the world's second biggest economy might be able to avoid a hard landing and U.S. retail sales data that was not as weak as feared lifted stocks, oil and other growth-oriented markets on Tuesday.

In the currency market, emboldened investors drove up the euro despite lingering jitters over Greece's debt problems after it became S&P's lowest-rated sovereign borrower. The renewed appetite for risk, however, routed low-risk government bonds.

China's inflation accelerated to its fastest level in almost three years, and its industrial output grew a solid 13 percent from a year ago. Its central bank, in an effort to curb inflation, later increased the reserve requirement ratio for commercial lenders by 50 basis points. For details, see [ID:nL3E7HE05P]

The data showed inflation at multi-year highs, but did not worsen fears that it is running out of the control. This raised hopes that Chinese policy-makers could gradually tighten policy to cool local wage growth and its red-hot property market without subtracting too much from overall growth, a so-called soft landing.

"People are waiting to see whether there will be a soft landing or a hard landing in China. Based on the data overnight, the odds are favoring a soft landing. It's making people more optimistic," said Brian Jacobsen, chief portfolio strategist at Wells Fargo Funds Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin, which oversees $400 billion in assets.

In the United States, retail sales in May fell for the first time 11 months, but the drop was less than expected, signaling the resilience of American consumers despite sluggish job growth and a lousy housing market. [ID:nN14189765]

"We were seeing an over-reaction in the last few days to a slowdown in the economy. At some point, we will get a better tone in consumer spending and overall growth rate," said Frank Germack, director of the investment department at Rehmann Financial in Troy, Michigan.

The U.S. stock market jumped, with the Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> up 163.97 points, or 1.37 percent, at 12,116.94. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was up 19.70 points, or 1.55 percent, at 1,291.53. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was up 44.86 points, or 1.70 percent, at 2,684.55.

The S&P 500 is on track for its biggest one-day percentage rise since March, shaving its month-to-date loss to 4 percent.

Top European stocks <.FTEU3> rose 0.8 percent, while Tokyo's Nikkei <.N225> ended 1.0 percent higher.

Some analysts cautioned the gains in stocks and risky markets could be short-lived as sovereign debt problems in Europe and the United States fester and the Federal Reserve's $600 billion bond program expires at the end of June.

"A one-day rally is not going to change the situation," said Robbert Van Batenburg, head of global research at Louis Capital Markets in New York.

GREECE SELLS DEBT

Also reducing investor anxiety was Greece's ability to raise short-term funds after Standard & Poor's downgraded its rating closer to default territory. [ID:nN13126859]

Greece sold 1.625 billion euros ($2.33 billion) of 6-month T-bills at a yield of 4.96 percent. This was higher than May's 4.88 percent but attracted a larger percentage of foreign buyers than the previous auction, reflecting market expectations Greece will secure a second rescue package worth about 120 billion euros to stave off default.

On the other hand, the cost of insuring Greek debt against default over five years rose to record peak of 1,615 basis points, as did the yield on Greek government bonds. [ID:nLDE75D0ZT]

Greece's trials did little to discourage investors from buying the euro.

The euro rebounded a day after it hit a record low against the Swiss franc . The Swiss currency, which falls when investors turn away from safe havens, declined more than 0.9 percent versus the euro and the U.S. dollar.

The euro rose to $1.4480 against the greenback, up 0.5 percent on the day .

Investors also channeled money into commodities at the expense of government bonds.

ICE Brent July crude rose 88 cents to $119.98 a barrel, touching its highest level in more than five weeks. U.S. oil futures were up 1.6 percent at $98.88.

Spot gold climbed to $1,523.29 an ounce from $1,514.73 on Monday when it suffered its biggest one-day loss in a month, touching a three-week low of $1,511.11.

A sell-off in the U.S. government bond markets pushed benchmark yields to their highest level in almost two weeks at 3.08 percent. German Bund futures fell 54 basis points at 125.40 after posting a contract high of 126.11 on Monday. (Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch and Nick Olivari in New York and Simon Falush, Amanda Cooper in London; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

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