Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-USD longs trimmed on doubts about U.S. recovery

Published 06/27/2010, 08:06 PM
Updated 06/27/2010, 08:10 PM
EUR/JPY
-

* Dollar index holds above support at 85.09, looks vulnerable

* Dlr/yen near 1-mth low on doubts about U.S. recovery

* Euro, Aussie firm in Asian trade

By Anirban Nag

SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - The dollar was subdued on Monday, with investors seeking to cut long positions built in favour of the greenback, while the euro held gains as the focus shifted to the sustainability of an U.S. recovery from the euro zone's woes.

The dollar index <.DXY> was at 85.30 in early Asian trade, holding above support at 85.09, the low hit on May 21. A sustained move below 85 for the index should see more losses with initial support seen near the 55-day moving average at 84.71.

The dollar was at 89.26 yen, not far from a one-month low of 89.21 hit on Friday. It lost 1.3 percent last week, the third straight week of declines and those losses came after data showed U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) growth was slower than previously expected in the first quarter.

For more see [ID:nN25111163].

"The dollar index swooned in the face of all this news on Friday night," said Tom Lovell, economist at ICAP, Sydney. "I have a feeling in my bones that perhaps Friday was the start of the market questioning the viability of the U.S. dollar as the safe haven."

Latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed currency speculators have trimmed their bets on the greenback and have gone long on the yen in the week to June 22. [IMM/FX].

The U.S. GDP numbers came after some weaker-than-expected housing numbers and a rather dovish Federal Reserve, all which drove U.S. Treasury yields lower and prompted investors to reassess their U.S. dollar positions.

The euro was up at $1.2383, having gained nearly 0.5 percent on Friday. And, while the dollar's drop was helping the euro, funding issues in the euro zone were likely to cap gains.

Near term resistance is at $1.2490, the high struck on June 21, with support forming around $1.2254, the low struck on June 25. Against the yen, the euro was firm at 110.55 yen, having gained 0.15 percent on Friday.

Traders said the impact from G-20 on the currency market was muted, with the summit throwing up no major surprises for investors. [ID:nN18322198].

The G-20 leaders agreed to take different paths to cut budget deficits and make their banking systems safer, serving a timely reminder to investors that global recovery would be uneven and bumpy.

Still, high-yielding currencies were well supported by improved risk appetite as commodities <.CRB> and stocks <.SPX> made gains.

The Australian dollar at $0.8740, having gained nearly 1 percent on Friday. Traders said there was talk of stops lined up above $0.8780 with resistance at $0.8788, the 55-day moving average. (Editing by Balazs Koranyi)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.