🤯 Have you seen our AI stock pickers’ 2024 results? 84.62%! Grab November’s list now.Pick Stocks with AI

Analysis-Ford investors impatient for the automaker to boost efficiency efforts

Published 10/30/2024, 06:04 AM
Updated 10/30/2024, 11:57 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Ford F-150 pickup truck is seen on the assembly line at Dearborn Truck Plant in Dearborn, Michigan, U.S.  April 11, 2024.  REUTERS/Rebecca Cook/File Photo
GM
-
F
-

By Nora Eckert

DETROIT (Reuters) -Ford Motor stock has tumbled about 8% so far this week after the company faltered on CEO Jim Farley's mission to improve efficiency in its traditional gasoline-engine operations, whose profits the company needs to fund its expensive electric vehicle plans.

Quality and warranty problems, supplier issues and waste in the automaker's 121-year legacy business have obscured its progress, Farley told analysts during a call to discuss quarterly earnings Monday. The automaker said annual results would be in the lowest range of its previous outlook.

“The biggest opportunity for the company clearly is cost and warranty," Farley said on the call. “I'm proud of the progress but we're not satisfied at all,” he later added.

Some on Wall Street are concerned about Ford (NYSE:F)'s ability to root out these perennial issues, which Farley has highlighted for years. Some investors also chafe at Ford's decision to preserve cash and pay a dividend rather than engage in aggressive stock buybacks like Detroit rival GM.

Ford shares are down 13% this year, while rival General Motors (NYSE:GM) is up 43% after consistently raising its outlook this year. Comparing the cross-town rivals as they navigate similar market forces is unavoidable, analysts and investors say.

“I wouldn't say the results have been horrible at Ford in any one quarter, but second and third quarter definitely had some disappointments, and those disappointments are more magnified this year given how well GM’s stock is doing,” said Morningstar analyst David Whiston.

Differing cost structures at Ford and GM are clear when comparing revenue and earnings before interest and taxes. They recorded similar revenues in the third quarter, $49 billion for GM and $46 billion for Ford, yet GM’s EBIT, which takes revenue minus the cost of goods sold and operating expenses, was about 1.5 times larger than Ford’s at $4.1 billion.

"Ford has yet to narrow the $7bn cost gap that it cited vs. competitors," Barclays analyst Dan Levy wrote in a research note, citing a gap that Ford executives have previously outlined. "This improvement has proven extremely elusive and it’s still unclear as to when it will occur."

Ford cited quality problems as well as isolated events such as fallout from recent hurricanes in the U.S. Southeast and inflation affecting a plant in Turkey as the automaker cut its yearly outlook on its two main money makers: the commercial and gasoline-engine divisions.

The gasoline-engine vehicle operations are now expected to record around $5 billion in EBIT at year-end, down from the previously projected $6 billion to $6.5 billion range. Ford will only just meet the low end of its commercial outlook of $9 billion to $10 billion, and it needs strong profits in these divisions to offset an expected $5 billion loss on EVs this year.

GM’s aggressive stock buyback strategy has kept its investors satisfied, while Ford has focused on dividends. Last year, GM outlined a $10 billion stock buyback, and added a $6 billion stock buyback in June.

Ford has paid a 15-cent quarterly dividend this year. When asked Monday about returning more money to shareholders, Chief Financial Officer John Lawler said Ford is focused on paying out 40% to 50% of free cash flow, but hanging on to as much of the rest as possible.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Ford F-150 pickup truck is seen on the assembly line at Dearborn Truck Plant in Dearborn, Michigan, U.S.  April 11, 2024.  REUTERS/Rebecca Cook/File Photo

“Where we're at in the industry, where we're at in the overall economic cycle, the uncertainty around the globe, right now, it's the right thing to hang on to cash,” Lawler said.

GM had 1.1 billion shares available to trade at the end of the third quarter, down significantly from 1.5 billion at the start of 2021, according to company filings. Ford is at 3.9 billion shares, steady with its 3.9 billion common stock shares in early 2021.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.