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Frontier maintains Q4 guidance, expects higher RASM

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 12/03/2024, 03:04 PM
ULCC
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Frontier Group Holdings , Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC), the parent company of Frontier Airlines, has reaffirmed its financial outlook for the fourth quarter of 2024 today, maintaining its adjusted pre-tax margin between 0 and 2 percent. According to InvestingPro data, while the company faces challenges with its significant debt burden of $4.2 billion, analysts expect net income growth this year, with earnings per share forecast at $0.04 for fiscal 2024.

In its latest regulatory filing, Frontier disclosed an anticipated average fuel cost per gallon for the fourth quarter to be between $2.45 and $2.50, a slight increase from the previously guided range of $2.40 to $2.50 per gallon. This updated estimate is based on the blended jet fuel curve as of November 27, 2024.

The company's stock has shown strong momentum recently, with a 10% gain over the past week and a 47% return over the last year, though InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently fairly valued.

These forward-looking statements, grounded in the company's current expectations and beliefs, are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the projections. These include economic conditions, industry competition, operational disruptions, labor relations, fuel price volatility, and regulatory challenges, among others.

In other recent news, Frontier Communications (OTC:FTRCQ) Parent, Inc. reported Q3 2024 results, which missed earnings expectations but surpassed revenue forecasts. The company reported a loss of $0.33 per share, exceeding the projected loss of $0.19 per share, but generated revenue of $1.49 billion, outperforming the consensus estimate of $1.46 billion. Frontier also added 108,000 fiber broadband customers in Q3, increasing its total fiber broadband customer base to 2.3 million.

In more recent developments, Frontier Group Holdings Inc witnessed financial improvements as anticipated by UBS, which set the company's shares at Neutral. UBS expects Frontier's revenue per available seat mile (RASM) to increase due to the maturing of new markets and routes, particularly in 2025 and 2026.

However, the firm also anticipates Frontier will face cost pressures, particularly from increased aircraft rent and reduced gains from sale-leaseback transactions.

Melius maintains a positive view on the U.S. airline industry shares, emphasizing the sector's promising setup for the remainder of 2024. The firm's commentary underscores the importance of structural changes and free cash flow (FCF) generation, alongside a positive demand outlook and improving supply dynamics, as key drivers of the industry's future success.

Looking at Frontier Airlines specifically, InvestingPro data indicates a projected revenue growth of 4% for FY2024, with analysts maintaining a consensus hold recommendation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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