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Forex - USD/JPY weekly outlook: September 20-24

Published 09/19/2010, 06:29 AM
USD/JPY
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Investing.com – Last week saw the yen tumble from a 15-year high against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, after Japan intervened in currency markets for the first time in 6 years, curbing the yen's recent strong gains.

USD/JPY hit 85.77 on Wednesday, the pair's highest since August 30; the pair subsequently consolidated at 85.84 by Friday's close of trade, jumping 1.94% over the week.

The pair is likely to find short-term support at 85.21, last Thursday's low and resistance at 86.95, the high of July 30.

On Wednesday, Japan unilaterally intervened in the currency market for the first time since 2004, selling an estimated two trillion yen. The move attracted criticism from the U.S. and Europe. The head of the euro zone's finance ministers and Luxembourg's Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker said on Thursday, that his partners in the euro zone "don't like unilateral intervention."

On Friday, Japan's finance minister reiterated a threat to intervene in the currency markets again, signaling Japan's determination to protect it's largely export driven economy.

"As we have been saying, our basic stance is that we will take decisive steps, including intervention, if necessary, and I'd like to maintain this stance," Minister Noda said.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is to announce its benchmark interest rate. The U.S. is also to release several reports on the housing sector as well as a weekly report on initial jobless claims. The country is also to release key data on manufacturing production while Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke is to speak at a public engagement.

Meanwhile, Japan is to publish a report on industry wide activity, an important indicator of overall economic health. Also, markets in Japan will be closed on Wednesday for a Bank Holiday.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect USD/JPY.

Monday, September 20


The U.S. is to begin the week by publishing industry data on home sales, a leading indicator of economic health. Meanwhile, markets in Japan will be closed for a Bank Holiday.

Tuesday, September 21

The U.S. Federal Reserve is to announce its benchmark interest rate. The announcement will be followed by the release of the closely watched rate statement, which discusses economic outlook.

The U.S. is also to release key data on building permits and housing starts, leading indicators of growth in the construction sector.

Wednesday, September 22

Japan is to publish a report on industry wide activity, an important indicator of overall economic health.

Thursday, September 23

The U.S. is to release key weekly data on initial jobless claims, a leading indicator of economic health, as well as data on existing home sales. The country is also due to publish an index of leading economic indicators, designed to predict the future direction of the economy.

Friday, September 24

The U.S. is to end the week by producing key data on durable goods orders, a leading indicator of manufacturing production. The country is also to produce data on new home sales, a leading indicator of growth in the housing sector.

Later in the day, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is expected to deliver a speech on the U.S. economy. His comments will be closely scrutinized for any clues to the future direction of monetary policy.





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