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U.S. gas futures rise to 1-week high as forecasts turn warmer

Published 07/13/2015, 09:43 AM
© Reuters.  U.S. natural gas futures hit one-week high as forecasts turn warmer
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Investing.com - U.S. natural gas prices rose to a one-week high on Monday, as forecasts for the next two weeks turned warmer, boosting near-term demand expectations for the heating fuel.

Natural gas for delivery in August hit a session peak of $2.855 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the most since July 3, before trading at $2.846 during U.S. morning hours, up 7.6 cents, or 2.76%.

Futures were likely to find support at $2.644, the low from July 9, and resistance at $2.885, the high from July 2.

Updated weather forecasting models pointed to warmer-than-normal temperatures across many regions through July 24, boosting summer cooling demand for the fuel. Forecasts originally called for mild summer weather during the period.

Demand for natural gas tends to fluctuate in the summer based on hot weather and air conditioning use. Natural gas accounts for about a quarter of U.S. electricity generation.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report Thursday that natural gas storage in the U.S. rose by 91 billion cubic feet, compared to expectations for an increase of 86 billion and following a build of 69 billion cubic feet in the preceding week.

Supplies rose by 94 billion cubic feet in the year-earlier period, while the five-year average change is an increase of 75 billion cubic feet.

Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.668 trillion cubic feet as of last week, 32.8% higher than during the same week a year earlier and 1.7% above the five-year average for this time of year.

Last spring, supplies were 55% below the five-year average, indicating producers have made up for all of last winter’s unusually strong demand.

The EIA's next storage report slated for release on Thursday, July 16 is expected to show a build of approximately 95 billion cubic feet for the week ending July 10.

Supplies rose by 105 billion cubic feet in the same week last year, while the five-year average change is an increase of 71 billion cubic feet.

Elsewhere on the Nymex, crude oil for delivery in August shed 85 cents, or 1.61%, to trade at $51.89 a barrel, while heating oil for August delivery tumbled 1.93% to trade at $1.706 per gallon.

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