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Factbox-Results of Michigan exit poll on U.S. presidential election

Published 11/05/2024, 05:34 PM
Updated 11/05/2024, 11:35 PM
© Reuters. A woman casts her ballot in the 2024 presidential election at a polling place on Election Day in Dearborn, Michigan, U.S., November 5, 2024. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook

(Reuters) -Democrat Kamala Harris faced Republican Donald Trump on Tuesday in the U.S. presidential election, with the two candidates vying to attract support after staking positions on issues including abortion, the economy and foreign policy.

Following are preliminary results from an exit poll conducted by Edison Research. Results will be updated as additional poll responses are gathered.

* Harris wins 54% of women voters in Michigan; Trump wins 44%. Trump's share is up 1 percentage point from a 2020 exit poll.

* Trump wins 53% of white voters in Michigan; Harris wins 45%. Trump's share is down 2 percentage points from a 2020 exit poll.

* Trump wins 58% of white men voters in Michigan; Harris wins 40%. Trump's share is down 2 percentage points from a 2020 exit poll.

* Harris wins 49% of white women voters in Michigan; Trump wins 49%. Trump's share is down 2 percentage points from a 2020 exit poll.

* Harris wins 56% of voters age 65+ in Michigan; Trump wins 43%. Trump's share is down 6 percentage points from a 2020 exit poll.

* Trump wins 48% of voters age 45+ in Michigan; Harris wins 50%. Trump's share is down 1 percentage point from a 2020 exit poll.

* Harris wins 47% of voters under age 45 in Michigan; Trump wins 49%. Trump's share is up 4 percentage points from a 2020 exit poll.

* Trump wins 53% of voters without a college degree in Michigan; Harris wins 45%. Trump's share is up 1 percentage point from a 2020 exit poll.

* Harris wins 57% of voters with college degrees in Michigan; Trump wins 41%. Trump's share is unchanged from a 2020 exit poll.

* 46% of voters in Michigan said they had a favorable view of Trump, compared to 45% who said so in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 52% viewed him unfavorably, compared to 53% in 2020.

* 47% of voters in Michigan said they had a favorable view of Harris, compared to 51% who said the same of Biden in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 51% viewed her unfavorably, compared to 47% who viewed Biden that way in 2020.

* 27% of voters in Michigan said the economy mattered most in deciding how to vote in the presidential election. 12% said immigration, 17% abortion, 35% the state of democracy, 4% foreign policy.

* 45% of voters in Michigan said their family's financial situation was worse off than it was four years ago, compared to 15% who said so in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 25% said they were better off than they were four years ago, compared to 41% in 2020. 29% said their financial situation was unchanged.

* 30% of voters in Michigan said U.S. support for Israel is too strong. 26% said it's not strong enough and 37% said it's about right.

* 71% of voters in Michigan said they think democracy in the U.S. is threatened. 26% said it is secure.

* 62% of voters in Michigan said they didn't have college degree, compared to 64% in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 38% had a degree, compared to 36% in 2020.

* 55% of voters in Michigan were women, compared to 54% in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 45% were men, compared to 46% in 2020.

* 79% of voters in Michigan were white, compared to 81% in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 11% were Black, compared to 12% in 2020. 6% were Hispanic, compared to 3% in 2020.

* 35% of voters in Michigan were white men, compared to 37% in Edison Research's 2020 exit poll. 44% were white women, compared to 43% in 2020.

* 4% of voters in Michigan were Black men, compared to 5% in 2020. 7% were Black women, compared to 7% in 2020.

* 3% of voters in Michigan were Hispanic men, compared to 2% in 2020. 2% were Hispanic women, compared to 1% in 2020.

Exit polling reflects just a slice of the tens of million of people who have voted, both before and on Election Day, and the preliminary results are subject to change through the course of the night as more people are surveyed.

National exit-poll results provide an important window into the thinking of the nation, but may not directly align with the seven battleground states expected to decide the presidential election.

© Reuters. A woman casts her ballot in the 2024 presidential election at a polling place on Election Day in Dearborn, Michigan, U.S., November 5, 2024. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook

Exit polls capture variations among turnout in various demographic groups, such as men vs women voters or college-educated vs non-college educated voters, and can provide insights into how turnout has changed from past elections.

One key advantage of exit polls is all the people surveyed, by definition, are people who cast ballots in this election.

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