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UPDATE 3-WTO urges non-discrimination as crisis ends

Published 11/19/2009, 01:15 PM

* Exit strategies must not disadvantage foreign suppliers

* Export-oriented economies must turn to domestic growth

* More social spending will support trade, ease imbalances

(Adds Lamy comments)

By Jonathan Lynn

GENEVA, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Governments must ensure they avoid discriminating against foreign suppliers in economic policy and financial regulation as the global economic crisis ebbs, the World Trade Organisation said.

"There has been no systemic breakdown in the international trading system and WTO members have resisted the allure of protectionism," it said in a report circulated to members late on Wednesday, a copy of which was obtained by Reuters.

The global trade body said the worst of the crisis, which will result in trade shrinking this year by more than its previously forecast 10 percent -- a faster contraction than in the 1930s Great Depression -- now appeared to be over.

But in working on their exit strategies from the crisis, governments must take steps to help revive international trade flows and strengthen the international trading system.

Economic policies must be designed not to favour home suppliers relative to foreign suppliers, it said in the report, an annual review of developments in international trade by Director-General Pascal Lamy.

"The world economy is about as open for trade today as it was before the crisis started," he said in a letter to ministers coming to the WTO's three-day conference starting Nov. 30, a copy of which was obtained by Reuters.

"However, even if the worst of the crisis may be behind us, its economic effects -- particularly unemployment -- are still with us for months to come."

As global imbalances are unwound, export-oriented emerging economies will need to rely more on domestic sources of growth, it said in a reference to countries like China.

Regulatory changes in the financial sector must also avoid discrimination, it said.

"Countries that have provided support to their financial sector during the crisis must ensure that as part of their exit strategy it does not leave an uneven level-playing field between national and foreign-owned institutions," it said.

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT

The WTO's 153 members will be looking at its contribution to recovery and development, as well as taking stock of its other activities such as monitoring trade policies for protectionism and the long-running Doha negotiations to open world trade, at the forthcoming conference.

The report said that only a few members had raised tariffs in response to the crisis, but there had been increases in other trade policy measures.

WTO members reported 217 new anti-dumping investigations -- probes into unfairly priced imports -- between July 2008 and June this year, a 15 percent rise over the previous year and reversing a decline between 2001 and 2007, it said.

But the WTO said it was difficult to analyse the impact on trade of fiscal stimulus packages and financial sector bailouts -- something of growing concern to developing countries.

Climate change could have an enormous effect on trade by affecting transport and distribution chains and the geographical pattern of production, particularly in farming, it said.

But it said trade could also help mitigate climate change by spreading environmental goods and services -- one of the topics in the Doha round coming increasingly into prominence.

However, the WTO warned that failure by countries to reach an international agreement on tackling climate change could lead some governments to use trade measures to keep their industries competitive in the face of climate measures.

"The absence of an international environmental solution may spill over into the trade arena, stoking trade tensions and reducing the potential growth of international trade," it said.

The WTO noted that unemployment was likely to rise until at least next year even as the recovery takes hold, and called on governments to increase social spending.

In rich countries hit by the crisis, social safety nets could underpin public support for open trade, and increased social spending in emerging economies would reduce the need for private citizens to save so much, which has contributed to the imbalances underlying the crisis, it said. (Editing by Jon Boyle)

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