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UPDATE 2-Japan bank lending slows as funding strains ease

Published 06/08/2009, 02:58 AM

* Annual bank lending growth slows to seven-month low

* Issuance of CP falls as fund demand tails off

* Bankruptcy cases down for first time in year

* Service sector sentiment hits one-year high

* Current account surplus down 54.5 pct from a year ago

By Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO, June 8 (Reuters) - Growth in Japanese bank lending slowed to a seven-month low in May as firms stop hoarding cash and it becomes easier to obtain funds via capital markets, but the slowdown also points to a worrying drop in funding demand.

Companies need less money because they are reducing capital spending on the view that global demand will not soon return to levels seen before the economic crisis, boding ill for the economy in the near term.

The balance of outstanding loans held by Japanese banks rose 3.1 percent in May from a year earlier, the smallest increase since October, after climbing a record 3.6 percent in December and January.

The tightness in Japanese financial markets has eased to levels seen before the collapse of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers in September that rocked markets worldwide.

"The initial reaction to the crisis seems to be over. But companies' sales may not return to levels seen before the Lehman shock," said Yoshimasa Maruyama, an economist at trading house Itochu Corp.

Corporate bond issuance has also come back to life in recent months, with 693 billion yen of such bonds issued last week alone.

That rise means companies can rely less on short-term commercial paper, of which the outstanding balance in Japan fell 19.1 percent in May from a year earlier.

Until a few months ago, commercial paper issuance had been falling for a different reason, as investors did not want to buy for fear of any sudden corporate bankruptcies, analysts say.

To support these markets, the BOJ pledged to buy up to 3 trillion yen ($31 billion) of commercial paper and the government promised to guarantee loans for small firms as part of a stimulus package.

Some analysts now say the need for such support measures may be waning, as a Bank of Japan commercial paper-buying operation on Friday drew no bids from banks.

The number of Japanese companies going bankrupt fell from the same month a year earlier in May for the first time in 12 months, a research firm said on Monday, in another sign that Japan's economic downturn may be bottoming out.

Sentiment among service sector workers such as taxi drivers, hotel staff and restaurant employees -- called "economy watchers" for their proximity to consumer and retail trends -- also rose to a one-year high in May.

The Nikkei share average rose to an eight-month high after better-than-expected U.S. job figures raised hopes for a recovery.

But while financial markets are showing a semblance of normality, the real economy will need more time to recover, analysts said.

Japanese manufacturers are seen likely to delay investment in plant and equipment until global trade grows more quickly, and that could slow Japan's recovery from its worst recession since World War Two.

Data showed on Monday that the country's current account surplus fell 54.5 percent in April from a year earlier as exports remained depressed and income gains from investment sagged.

The figure compared with a market median forecast for a 39 percent decline.

Revised data due this week is expected to confirm that the world's No.2 economy shrank a record 4.0 percent in the first quarter, according to a Reuters poll, due to weak investment, trade and consumption.

The economy may expand 0.5 percent in the second quarter, the poll showed, as overseas demand is not yet strong enough for companies to rapidly increase output, while a deteriorating labour market is weighing on consumer spending. (Additional reporting by Leika Kihara, Mariko Katsumura and Hideyuki Sano; Editing by Michael Watson)

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