UPDATE 1-Zuma faces battle at S.Africa's ANC policy meeting

Published 09/20/2010, 04:08 AM
Updated 09/20/2010, 04:12 AM

* ANC general council due to shape rand, mining policy

* Finance minister says billions lost to corruption

* Zuma tries to mend strained alliance

(Adds comments from finance minister)

By Jon Herskovitz

DURBAN, Sept 20 (Reuters) - South African President Jacob Zuma faces a major battle to shore up his authority this week when the ruling ANC meets to shape policies, notably on the strong rand and on left-wing calls for mine nationalisation.

The meeting of the African National Congress, which opened in the coastal city of Durban on Monday, marks one of the most important political events in years for the party, which has ruled since the end of apartheid in 1994.

The National General Council could leave Zuma weakened if he fails to hold on to old allies, who want left-leaning economic policies, or to win over some new ones.

With his term due to run until 2014, he is already widely seen as an ineffective leader. Former backers have indicated they may not support him for a second term, while economic growth looks set to slow in Africa's biggest economy, and a dispute that led to 1.3 million state workers going on strike has yet to be resolved.

"The difficulty for someone such as Zuma is that he has to appease so many different challenges and demands. And, being someone who is a consensus-seeking leader, you will always look weak in the process," said Roland Henwood at the University of Pretoria's Institute for Strategic and Political Affairs.

One of Zuma's main tasks is to repair an alliance with the powerful labour federation COSATU, strained by a three-week state workers' that was suspended earlier this month, and union accusations of cronyism and corruption in his government.

BILLIONS LOST TO CORRUPTION

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan told delegates to the conference that the country has lost billions of rand through corruption.

"It's a cancer. If you don't catch it early enough and if you don't tackle it early enough, it will become the end," Gordhan said in a speech at the meeting.

Zuma will also need to fend off various rivals in the splintered ANC who are lining up to challenge Zuma at the next ANC leadership election in 2012. Due to the ANC's electoral dominance, that person is likely to be South Africa's next president.

Analysts expect Zuma, who was due to address the meeting at about 0800 GMT on Monday, to pay lip service to economic proposals made by COSATU, such as letting the rand fall from current 2-1/2 year highs. But they also believe he is not forceful or decisive enough to push through any major change.

The calls for mine nationalisation by COSATU and the ANC's Youth League are not likely to lead to any major change for a sector that accounts for about 6-7 percent of GDP, analysts said..

Mine nationalisation would place an enormous financial burden on the country. The Mail and Guardian newspaper cited cost estimates of at least 2 trillion rand ($280 billion), more than double the annual state budget.

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan told Reuters in an interview on Monday that nationalisation was "not government policy", and that South Africa wanted "stable and competitive currencies".

The Durban meeting lasts until Friday. The next major event on the ANC calendar is the National Policy Council, including the leadership election, in 2012. (Editing by Marius Bosch and Kevin Liffey)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.