🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

UPDATE 1-IMF sees Czech economy shrinking by 1.3% in 2009

Published 04/14/2009, 10:12 AM
Updated 04/14/2009, 10:16 AM
TGT
-

* IMF predicts Czech GDP to shrink 1.3 percent this year

* Fiscal gap seen at 3.3 percent of GDP

* Sees room for further monetary easing

(Adds quotes, background)

PRAGUE, April 14 (Reuters) - The Czech economy will shrink by 1.3 percent this year, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday, cutting its previous forecast for a 1.5 percent expansion.

The IMF predicted a fiscal gap of 3.3 percent of gross domestic product this year -- up from a previously predicted 2.5 percent -- and a 3.4 percent gap in 2010.

The IMF staff predictions accompanied a report from regular consultations between the IMF and the Czech Republic, concluded by the IMF executive board on Feb. 6 this year, following a November 2008 staff visit.

"The sharp downward revision reflects the deepening recession in the euro area, especially Germany, as well as deteriorating prospects for domestic demand," the IMF said.

"While investment is set to slow down markedly, especially in the key automobile sector, private consumption is projected to weaken further, reflecting dimmer prospects for employment and lower household confidence."

The forecasts put the IMF in line with Czech authorities and most analysts who have switched to predicting a contraction in output this year, following a slump in demand for Czech exports in the euro zone.

The Finance Ministry has said the economy may shrink by up to 2 percent this year.

The drop has been illustrated in export and output statistics. Data showed on Tuesday that industrial production slumped by 23.4 percent year-on-year in February [ID:nPRA002507].

"Given the prospect of a sharp economic downturn in 2009, it will be important to preserve financial stability and mitigate the impact of the downturn, using the flexibility gained from past sound policies," the IMF executive board said in a statement.

The IMF also said it saw scope for further interest rate cuts in light of an expected inflation drop. The bank last cut rates by 50 basis points to 1.75 percent on Feb. 5, a day before the IMF executive board concluded the Czech Republic consultation.

"With inflation projected to fall below the target of 3 percent and a sharp slowdown in prospect, there is scope for further prudent easing depending on movements in the crown and the extent of weakness in demand," the IMF said. (Reporting by Jan Lopatka; editing by Chris Pizzey)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.