🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

UPDATE 1-Fitch: Bulgaria outlook now negative, was stable

Published 04/30/2009, 12:10 PM
Updated 04/30/2009, 12:24 PM

(Adds details from Fitch statement)

NEW YORK, April 30 (Reuters) - Fitch Ratings on Thursday revised Bulgaria's credit outlook to negative from stable, saying the country's growing current account deficit raises concerns about its long-term external solvency.

"The deterioration in the global economic outlook increases the cost of implementing the economic adjustment needed to reduce the high current account deficit, adding to the downside risk for Bulgaria's ratings," Fitch's analyst Andrew Colquhoun said in a statement.

Bulgaria's current account deficit reached 25 percent of gross domestic product in 2008 -- the highest ratio of 80 emerging economies rated by Fitch -- and the global recession is further reducing the country's exports and capital inflows.

Moreover, Bulgaria cannot match currency devaluations in many neighboring countries as a result of a currency board arrangement which significantly limits monetary operations and leaves fiscal policy as the main tool to influence the economy.

Maintaining the currency board arrangement is key to Bulgaria's economic and financial stability, Fitch said, as the costs of abandoning it would be high given the "euro-isation" of the financial system.

Colquhoun said, however, that financial aid from the International Monetary Fund could "shore up the external finances and give breathing room for the macroeconomic adjustment."

Fitch rates Bulgaria's long-term foreign-currency debt at BBB-minus, the lowest investment-grade level. The country's long-term local-currency debt is rated BBB.

Supporting the ratings are Bulgaria's budget surpluses, which accounted for 3 percent of GDP in 2008, and the fact that outstanding sovereign eurobonds only mature in 2013 and 2015. (Reporting by Walter Brandimarte; Editing by James Dalgleish)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.