🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

UPDATE 1-Belgium's leading indicator hits record low in Feb

Published 02/24/2009, 09:35 AM
Updated 02/24/2009, 09:40 AM

(Adds details, background, analyst comment)

BRUSSELS, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Belgian business confidence, a bellwether for the euro zone, fell to a record low in February because manufacturing sentiment sharply worsened, compounding pressure on the European Central Bank to cut rates further.

The business confidence index, often referred to as the leading indicator, dropped to -31.6, its lowest level since records began in 1980, from -27.7 in January, the central bank said on Tuesday.

A Reuters poll of 16 economists had produced a median forecast for a slight rise to -26.8, with a range from -32 to -20.

Germany's closely watched Ifo business climate index, released earlier on Tuesday, also plunged to its lowest level since the country's reunification in 1990. [ID:nLO471045]

Economists said the gloom among business leaders was no surprise and confirmed that a modest pick-up in January was more of a temporary blip.

Steven Vanneste at Fortis said a recovery would only happen when financial markets stabilised.

The slight recovery of trade sentiment in February was also attributed to a buoyant sales period at the start of the year.

Philippe Ledent, economist at ING, said the new business confidence figure implied negative growth of 0.6 percent this quarter after a 1.3 percent quarter-on-quarter contraction in the last three months of 2008, confirming a recession.

"There is only one possible conclusion. It is clear that the ECB, after its non-decision in February, will now go further with monetary easing and cut by 50 basis points in March. This is our analysis." (Reporting by Philip Blenkinsop and Antonia van de Velde; Editing by Ron Askew)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.