BEIJING, April 9 (Reuters) - China's annual economic growth probably slowed to 6.3 percent in the first three months of the year, the slowest quarterly pace on record, according to a Reuters poll.
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Following are the detailed forecasts of 24 banks and brokerages for Q1 GDP, as well as the consumer price index, producer price index, urban fixed-asset investment, industrial output and retail sales for March.
(Percent change from a year earlier): Institution GDP CPI PPI *FAI IO RS China Construction Bank 6.5 -0.6 -2.5 26.0 3.5 13.9 China Securities 6.2 -1.0 -5.5 27.8 5.8 15.5 CICC 6.2 -1.0 -6.3 26.5 6.5 14.6 CITIC Securities 6.7 -1.7 -6.5 26.0 6.8 14.5 Citigroup ~ -0.9 -4.2 27.0 6.0 15.5 Deutsche Bank ~ -1.2 -8.0 26.2 6.0 15.1 Essence Securities 6.6 -1.2 -5.8 27.0 7.0 14.5 Fortune Trust 6.5 -1.0 -5.5 26.7 7.0 14.7 Galaxy Asset Management 6.5 -1.0 -5.0 25.0 5.0 14.2 Galaxy Securities 6.9 -1.2 -4.8 27.2 5.2 15.4 Goldman Sachs 5.9 -1.4 -5.4 27.6 3.6 14.0 Guotai & Junan Securities 6.5 -1.0 -4.3 23.0 4.5 16.0 Hang Seng 6.0 -1.3 ~ 26.5 6.0 15.0 Industrial Bank 6.9 -1.6 -6.8 27.5 9.0 13.0 ING 6.3 -1.0 -6.0 26.0 7.5 17.2 Merrill Lynch 5.7 -1.5 -6.2 27.0 6.5 14.2 Moody's Economy.com 5.8 -1.5 -5.5 25.8 1.2 14.3 Nomura 6.8 -1.2 -5.1 26.0 6.5 10.0 Orient Securities 6.0 -1.0 -5.9 26.1 4.0 13.8 Royal Bank of Scotland ~ -1.0 -5.0 26.0 7.0 11.0 Shanghai Securities 6.5 -1.5 -5.0 25.0 2.0 14.0 Shenyin & Wanguo Securities 6.0 -1.7 -6.4 26.7 6.0 14.6 Southwest Securities 5.9 -0.9 -4.0 27.5 5.5 13.5 UBS Securities 5.8 -1.2 -6.0 27.0 6.5 15.0 _______________________________________________________________ _ Median 6.3 -1.2 -5.5 26.5 6.0 14.5 Minimum 5.7 -1.7 -8.0 23.0 1.2 10.0 Maximum 6.9 -0.6 -2.5 27.8 9.0 17.2
~ Not available
* Fixed-asset investment in urban areas, year-to-date (Reporting by Beijing Economics Team; Editing by Ken Wills)