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PREVIEW-Greek Dec CPI seen at 9-yr low of 2.3 pct y/y

Published 01/09/2009, 07:09 AM
Updated 01/09/2009, 07:16 AM

* What: Greek Dec consumer price inflation

* When: Monday, Jan. 12, 1000 GMT

* Headline rate seen dropping to 2.3 pct y/y

ATHENS, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Greek consumer price inflation in December is seen slowing to its lowest level since Oct 1999, dragged down by falling energy prices and weak domestic demand, economists said on Friday.

December inflation probably eased to a 2.3 percent annual pace from 2.9 percent in November and averaging out at 4.2 percent for 2008, according to the average of four economist forecasts.

"Dropping international oil prices, coupled with weakening domestic demand ... resulted in a faster than expected fading of headline inflationary pressures," said Nikos Magginas, an economist at National Bank of Greece.

The shooting of a teenager by police that sparked riots at city centres stifled Christmas shopping.

"Key drivers ... are the high base effect of last year's energy prices as well as the negative impact to aggregate demand due to the recent riots," Piraeus Bank economist Ilias Lekkos said.

Still, Greece's projected inflation in December will be higher than the average consumer price inflation in the euro zone.

Euro zone inflation dropped more than expected to 1.6 percent in December, a 26-month low, after sharp falls in energy and food prices.

"Relatively healthy domestic demand, combined with intrinsic rigidities in domestic markets, will ensure that Greek inflation will remain above the euro zone average in 2009," said Diego Iscaro, an economist at Global Insight.

Greece's statistics service (NSS) will release December headline inflation data on Jan 12.

Following is a breakdown of economists' forecasts for December and January 2009. ********************************************************

(y/y) Dec 08 Jan 09 2008 avg

Piraeus Bank 2.5 2.4 4.2

Alpha Bank 2.3 2.3 4.2

National Bank 2.2 2.3 4.2

Global Insight 2.3 2.0 4.2

Average 2.3 2.3 4.2 -------------------------------------------------------- (Reporting by George Hatzidakis, Renee Maltezou; editing by Stephen Nisbet)

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