Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Dollar falls as oil price gain boosts commodity currencies

Published 12/27/2017, 08:00 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO:  A packet  of Lincoln five dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington
HG
-
DXY
-
BTC/USD
-
BTC/BRL
-

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell against a basket of currencies and slid against the euro on Wednesday in thin holiday trading, while a rally in commodity prices helped push the Canadian and Australian currencies to their highest levels in recent weeks.

Traders said there was little news to support the euro's rise, but some investors have positioned for a possible strengthening into the new year. In 2017 the euro had its best year against the greenback since 2003.

Sterling enjoyed a bounce amid the broad dollar decline, with the pound up 0.3 percent at $1.341 at 1235 GMT. It had traded as high as $1.3423 earlier on Wednesday, its highest since Dec. 15.

Oil prices surged to two and a half-year highs on Tuesday, boosted by news of an explosion on a Libyan crude pipeline as well as voluntary OPEC-led supply cuts. Copper prices on Wednesday rocketed to their highest in three and a half years.

That helped support demand for the currencies of commodity exporting countries, with the Canadian dollar touching C$1.2628 , close to its highest level since October.

The Australian dollar rose 0.6 percent to $0.7776, its highest level in two months.

The U.S. dollar, measured against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.25 percent (DXY).

The U.S. dollar was also down 0.3 percent versus the euro at $1.1897 .

"There are very few events to drive anything today," said Christin Tuxen, an FX strategist at Danske Bank, adding that the passage of the U.S. government's landmark tax reform last week was not helping the dollar. "For most people it's not going to be this dollar-supportive event."

Tuxen said euro-U.S. dollar trading in December had been driven by volatility in Euro/dollar cross-currency basis swaps, which widened significantly earlier this month as demand for dollars jumped.

Monetary policy convergence could weigh on the dollar next year, now that central banks other than the U.S. Federal Reserve have either begun moving away from monetary stimulus, or started to raise interest rates, said Peter Chia, FX strategist for United Overseas Bank in Singapore.

Against this backdrop, Japanese policymakers may at least start dropping more hints about an eventual tightening of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy, Chia said, adding that the dollar could slip to 108 yen by the end of March.

"I think that policymakers in Japan want to prepare markets way ahead for some policy change ... The signaling process could be on a higher intensity next year," he said, adding that actual BOJ policy-tightening might occur only in 2019.

The dollar held steady against the yen at 113.22 yen.

Bitcoin rose marginally to about $15,854 (BTC=BTSP) on the Luxembourg-based Bitstamp exchange, putting it about 14 percent up this week, after last week suffering its biggest weekly drop since 2013.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO:  A packet  of Lincoln five dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.