POLL-FACTBOX-Shifts in ECB interest rate expectations

Oct 27 (Reuters) - The euro zone's uneven economic recovery will force the European Central Bank to hold interest rates steady until the fourth quarter of next year while it supports weaker members, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

Here is a summary of how ECB rate forecasts have moved over the last eight Reuters polls.

FORECASTS FOR END 2010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Poll Date Oct-27 Sep-29 Aug-25 Jul-28 Jul-01 Jun-02 Apr-28 Mar-31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Median 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Sample size 80 79 79 73 76 79 78 82 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rate at 1.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Rate at 1.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 7 Rate at 1.25 0 0 0 0 2 7 13 14 Rate at 1.00 80 79 78 73 74 72 57 60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ FORECASTS FOR END 2011 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Poll Date Oct-27 Sep-29 Aug-25 Jul-28 Jul-01 Jun-02 Apr-28 Mar-31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Median 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.50 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.00 Sample size 75 71 69 63 65 64 66 58 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rate at 3.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 4 Rate at 2.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 Rate at 2.50 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 12 Rate at 2.25 0 0 2 2 6 8 8 8 Rate at 2.00 3 1 3 4 7 14 25 18 Rate at 1.75 4 7 12 14 15 10 12 9 Rate at 1.50 16 15 17 16 13 10 3 2 Rate at 1.25 19 22 17 11 10 8 3 3 Rate at 1.00 33 26 18 15 14 12 2 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (FOR DETAILS OF THE POLL, CLICK ON ) (FOR A RELATED POLL STORY, CLICK ON [ECB/INT]) (Compiled by Ruby Cherian; Editing by Hugh Lawson)