INTERVIEW-Cut in aid to Africa to cost more in long term

Published 10/19/2010, 01:53 PM
Updated 10/19/2010, 01:56 PM

* Fears impact if Western austerity aid will hit aid

* Global currency face-off could also dent growth

* Believes African countries institutionally stronger

By Peter Apps, Political Risk Correspondent

LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - States like Somalia and Sierra Leone could ultimately cost the international community more money if they were destabilised by short-term cuts in Western aid, Africa's main representative to the IMF said on Tuesday.

Executive director Samuel Itam, who represents 20 African countries at the IMF board including South Africa and Nigeria, told Reuters he understood why European governments, trying to reduce record deficits, would target aid to Africa.

But reducing aid could undo recent gains and create longer term problems that would be more expensive to solve, he said. In Sierra Leone, cutting aid would force the government "...to find other resources... or completely dismantle programmes," he said.

"It is an easy thing to -- there is no domestic political reaction if you cut foreign aid," he said. "But that is too short-term and too myopic -- it will come back to hurt you in the longer run. Medium term, if you want stability and peace you have to contribute."

Africa could also be threatened if a global currency stand-off worsened, but overall, the continent was better placed than ever before to benefit from record commodity prices and competition between developed and emerging powers, Itam said.

He said that while new investment from China and elsewhere was welcome, it was much more narrowly focused on single investment projects and could not simply replace Western aid.

Overall, he said his base case prediction was that Africa would continue to grow by about 5-5.5 percent per year -- but significant donor reductions or other shocks could reduce this and it remained short of the 7-7.5 percent needed to seriously reduce poverty.

He said he was also concerned by rising global tensions over currency strength, with the United States and China facing off and many emerging economies keen to weaken their currencies to promote exports.

Some worry that trade protectionism could result. "That could become adverse for sub-Saharan African countries as it would eventually feed through to demand for their exports."

While South Africa might benefit in some ways from imposing capital controls to cap currency strength as it would make exports more competitive, its economy would also suffer as controls would deter foreign investment, Itam said.

"Having a weaker currency would only bring temporary benefit," he said.

High commodity prices and international competition over African resources have sometimes fuelled conflict and corruption, but Itam said institutions were now much stronger.

Countries such as Uganda were rigorous in ensuring money from new oilfields was ringfenced, he said, adding that his own country, Sierra Leone, would learn from its diamond-fuelled civil war when it came to handling new potential oil wealth.

"I think the key change is that ordinary people understand this and really demand transparency," he said. "With Sierra Leone, everyone knows diamonds were a disaster and I think that will help us to do it better this time round." (Editing by Tim Pearce)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.