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GLOBAL MARKETS-World stocks at 11-mth high, dlr at 1-yr low

Published 09/16/2009, 08:05 AM
Updated 09/16/2009, 08:06 AM
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* MSCI world shares at new 11-month peak; dollar at 1-yr low

* Oil, metals rally on growth optimism; gold at 18-mth high

* U.S. stock futures signal strong Wall Street opening

(Updates, adds quote, U.S. futures)

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Brightening signs of a global economic recovery pushed world equities to new 11-month peaks on Wednesday, with more and more investors joining the rush to sell low-yield dollars in favour of growth-oriented stocks and commodities.

Data this week showing a jump in U.S. retail sales has been interpreted as another sign the world's biggest economy is indeed on the road to recovery -- signals confirmed by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke who said on Tuesday the worst U.S. recession since the 1930s was probably over.

The optimism saw fresh cash flood to stock markets worldwide and boosted oil to around $71 a barrel while gold hit 18-month highs. But as investors turned to riskier assets the dollar fell to a one-year low against a basket of currencies .

U.S. stock futures were signalling a strong open on Wall Street following a one percent jump on the MSCI World index to the highest levels since early October 2008.

World stocks are up for nine out of the past 10 sessions.

"Another day in this brilliant bull market. The news around the world has been pretty good again in the past 24 hours...with comments from (Bank of England Governor Mervyn) King and Bernanke that the recession had finished," said Jim Wood Smith, head of research at Williams de Broe in London.

Emerging stocks surged almost 2 percent to new one-year highs, trading at levels last touched before the collapse of investment bank Lehman Brothers.

Futures for the S&P 500 were up 0.4 percent while Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.56 percent and 0.35 percent respectively, looking set to build on gains chalked up in Europe and Asia.

Asia set the pace, sweeping to new 2009 highs, with exporters like South Korea and Australia up 1.8 percent and 2.4 percent respectively.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares rose 1.2 percent to the highest since October 2008 thanks to stronger banking and commodity stocks.

"When you have comments coming out from Bernanke about a technical recession ending, that's increasing the pressure on the bears, there's a bit of a bear squeeze going on," said Mark Robinson, head of equity research at Unicredit in London.

"There is also a stronger fundamental element -- the G10 is pulling out of the slump and Asia is clearly in a V-shape (recovery). That's driving risk trade and commodities -- in the last week and a half, and particularly in the last 24 hours, we have seen a commodity stocks trade," Robinson added.

Japan's benchmark Nikkei added a more modest 0.5 percent, restrained in part by uncertainty over the policies of new Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama. The Bank of Japan began a two-day meeting but no policy change is anticipated.

Investors even managed to overlook a 1 percent fall in volatile Shanghai, attributing it to profit-taking.

STOCK GAINS, DOLLAR LOSS

Expectations are growing of a sizeable third quarter rebound in U.S. economic growth as business rebuild inventories after the 2.7 percent jump in U.S. August retail sales -- the fastest growth in 3-1/2 years.

That augurs well for the currencies of exporting nations, especially big commodity producers like Australia and South Africa, probably at the expense of the dollar which slumped to a one-year low around 76.187 against a basket of currencies.

The euro powered to new 2009 highs around $1.4690.

The dollar, whose safe-haven status has been eroded as the economic outlook improves, has shed 2.5 percent to the currency basket this month and almost 5 percent since early July.

"The general dollar-selling trend remains in place," said Lauren Rosborough, senior currency analyst at Westpac in London.

The yen gained to a near seven-month high versus the dollar after Japan's incoming finance minister said a strong yen had advantages for the nation's economy.

Silver and platinum prices rose in gold's wake while growth optimism boosted copper and other base metals across the board.

(Additional reporting by Carolyn Cohn and Joanne Frearson in London; Editing by Jason Neely)

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