🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

GLOBAL MARKETS-US dollar revives on risk aversion; stocks down

Published 11/17/2009, 01:35 PM
Updated 11/17/2009, 01:39 PM
GC
-
CL
-

* Dollar rises from 15-month lows on rise in risk aversion

* Oil, gold retreat pressured by rise in dollar

* U.S. industrial output data weighs on markets (Updates with U.S. markets, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Manuela Badawy

NEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rebounded on Tuesday on investors' increasing aversion to risk, driving down world stocks from the previous day's 2009 high, as well as commodity prices.

A weaker-than-expected U.S. industrial production report also pressured the stock market as investors worried about the sustainability of the economic recovery. For story on data see [ID:nN17546734].

Investors paused selling the U.S. dollar, which hit a 15-month low on Monday, after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged the dollar's slump was causing some prices to rise but said other factors restraining inflation were winning the day.

Bernanke's comments dulled risk appetite and caused investors to cut bets against the dollar.

U.S. stocks fell from a 13-month high as dollar-priced raw materials and commodity-linked stocks weighed on the index.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was down 0.02 percent, at 10,404.77. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was down 0.21 percent, at 1,106.97, and The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was down 0.10 percent, at 2,195.71.

The MSCI world equity index <.MIWD00000PUS> fell 0.57 percent, having hit its highest since September 2008 on Monday, as investors stepped back from risk trades and took a breather from an eight-month rally that has pushed the index 75 percent higher.

DOLLAR PRESSURES COMMODITIES

A weaker dollar typically supports commodity prices because dollar-priced contracts -- such as those for oil and gold -- become cheaper for buyers using other currencies.

Crude oil shed its 3 percent gains from the previous day and gold prices remained strong but weakened from record highs hit on Monday as the dollar recovered.

Meanwhile, a report showed U.S. industrial production rose by a smaller-than-expected 0.1 percent in October as auto manufacturers scaled back following the end of the "cash for clunkers" government incentive program.

Investors are worried about the sustainability of the economic recovery when stimulus spending winds down.

"All of this adds up to concern in the markets today about the strength and durability of the recovery and will weigh on recent gains," said Jim Awad, managing director at Zephyr Management in New York.

WORRIES ON THE DOLLAR

The euro fell 0.82 percent at $1.4848 while the dollar index <.DXY> rose 0.7 percent against a basket of major currencies.

The Fed -- the U.S. central bank -- has kept benchmark interest rates near zero and pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into the financial system to counter the worst recession in 70 years.

The dollar has been under pressure as the U.S. economy has lagged other economies in recovering from the global crisis.

For the dollar to reverse its long-term downtrend, analysts say China needs to take steps toward a more flexible currency regime, or the Fed has to signal imminent rate hikes.

"Neither of those prerequisites have been fulfilled, so the controlled grinding lower of the dollar will continue," said Johan Javeus, strategist at SEB in Stockholm.

U.S. Treasury debt prices edged higher, pushing 30-year bond yields to two-week lows as a pullback in the recent stocks rally gave safe-haven bonds a slight boost.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note was last up 3/32 in price for a yield of 3.32 percent versus 3.34 percent at Monday's close.

Bonds have not been as highly correlated with stocks as they were earlier this year. But the lofty peaks equities have scaled recently have some investors worried about whether Wall Street's rally can last.

The FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top European shares ended 0.4 percent lower at 1,030 after rising 1.5 percent on Monday. The index is up 24 percent in 2009 and has surged 60 percent since hitting a record low in March.

Emerging stocks market <.MSCIEF> fell 0.3 percent.

Japan's Nikkei stock average <.N225> fell 0.6 percent on Tuesday, as Tokyo market players said a host of domestic factors, including economic uncertainty amid renewed talk of deflation and the sense that government initiative on this is lacking, kept Japanese shares under pressure. (Additional reporting by Natsuko Waki in London and Steven C. Johnson, Edward Krudy and Burton Frierson in New York; Editing by James Dalgleish)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.