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GLOBAL MARKETS-US dollar, bonds up on weak consumer confidence

Published 10/27/2009, 01:23 PM
Updated 10/27/2009, 01:27 PM
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* U.S. dollar, bonds rise on weak consumer confidence data

* BP's strong earnings lift Dow, S&P

* Volatility index rises, investors move to safer havens (Updates with U.S. markets, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Manuela Badawy

NEW YORK, Oct 27 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar and bonds rose on Tuesday as investors moved into safer havens after data showed U.S. consumer confidence deteriorated in October, reviving worries over the pace of an economic rebound.

The U.S. dollar rose to two-week highs against the euro while bonds surged, driving yields, which move inversely to price, down from two-month highs.

U.S. stocks fell earlier in the day in choppy trade as the report overshadowed data that showed home prices rising for the fourth-straight month in August. For more see [ID:nN27236301].

Consumer confidence in the United States deteriorated as the worst labor market in a quarter century increased concerns over the likely extent of an improvement in the future.

"This report reminds us that the economic recovery will be soggy at best unless the consumer starts to feel better and spend more," said Cary Leahey, an economist at Decision Economics in New York.

Consumers are the backbone of the U.S. economy, so a weak confidence report bodes ill for the economic recovery because it indicates restrained consumer spending.

The Conference Board's index of consumer confidence fell to 47.7 in October, weaker than the consensus expectation of a reading of 53.1. Confidence was pressured on growing concerns job market conditions would worsen in the near term. [ID:nN27241974]

In mid-day trading, the euro was down 0.26 percent at $1.4813 after touching $1.4787 , its lowest since Oct. 13 and way below the $1.5064 hit on Monday, which was its highest since August 2008.

The dollar index <.DXY>, a measure of its performance against six other major currencies, rose to 76.323, a two-week high, well above a 14-month low of 74.94 hit last week.

U.S. Treasuries extended gains on Tuesday following the auction of $44 billion of two-year notes, part of this week's record $123 billion supply of government bonds.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 18/32, with the yield at 3.48 percent, down from 3.55 percent late on Monday.

Euro zone government bonds also rallied with Bund futures on track for their biggest one-day gain in a month, on the back of the weak U.S. consumer data that boosted demand for these lower-risk assets.

STOCKS SEESAW

At 1:15 p.m. (1715 GMT), the Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 16.33 points, or 0.17 percent, at 9,884.29. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was down 2.45 points, or 0.23 percent, at 1,064.50 and the Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was down 19.33 points, or 0.90 percent, at 2,122.52.

Earlier, better-than-expected third-quarter earnings from British energy giant BP Plc had lifted energy shares. [ID:nLQ683027]

The Nasdaq fell after Chinese Internet search giant Baidu.com reported quarterly revenue that missed expectations.

Oil prices were up 0.3 percent to $78.92 a barrel.

"There is definitely a gathering bullishness around energy at large, which is helping support things," said Matt Kaufler, portfolio manager and equity analyst at Clover Capital Management in Rochester, New York.

"If you believe the worst of the contraction is behind us, you're going to see oil prices continuing to rise."

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top shares closed up 0.4 percent, supported by BP's report.

"BP is ahead of expectations which is good news, but we have had a strong market environment which obviously helped," said Peter Dixon, economist at Commerzbank in London.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index <.VIX>, Wall Street's favorite barometer of investor sentiment, shot up to its highest level in four weeks, indicating worries about future losses.

This sentiment swept over into Tuesday trading with MSCI's all-country world stocks index <.MIWD00000PUS> down 1 percent, its emerging market sub-index <.MSCIEF> down 2.1 percent and Japan's Nikkei <.N225> closing down 1.45 percent. (Additional reporting by Richard Leong, Leah Schnurr and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York and Jeremy Gaunt in London; Editing by James Dalgleish)

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