GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks ease, dollar finds support

Published 09/28/2010, 03:35 AM
Updated 09/28/2010, 03:40 AM
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* Asian stocks broadly lower, Nikkei falls 1.1 pct

* European shares dip in early trade on profit taking

* Dollar firmer on WSJ report on easier Fed bond buying

* BOJ easing talk also buttresses U.S. currency (Repeats to more subscribers)

By Ron Popeski

SINGAPORE, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Shares fell in Asia and Europe on Tuesday while the struggling dollar was buoyed by a report that the Federal Reserve was weighing a smaller bond-buying programme than its previous asset purchase scheme. Suggestions that Japan's central bank may also ease monetary policy weighed on the yen, but currency markets remained anxious about the prospects for new Japanese intervention, and gold held near record highs.

Leading European stocks fell 0.7 percent in early trade as investors took profits after four weeks of gains and grew increasingly wary of European debt challenges, particularly in Ireland and Portugal.

S&P futures slipped 0.3 percent, pointing to a weaker opening on Wall Street as traders awaited a slew of economic data including readings on U.S. consumer confidence and retail sales.

Markets have drawn strength from recent U.S. data showing the economy was not sliding back into recession as some investors had feared, though growth remains sluggish and uneven.

The dollar index against a basket of other major currencies rose 0.5 percent, aided by a Wall Street Journal report that Fed officials were considering a more open-ended, smaller-scale bond buying programme than was the case in 2009.

The report also prompted a dip in U.S. Treasuries.

"The recent (stock market) rally calls for a bit of volatility. We are resilient as the mood globally is still optimistic," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital Investors in Australia.

Japan's Nikkei average fell 1.1 percent as the deadline passed for investors to receive dividends on Tokyo stocks for the financial half year.

The MSCI index of Asian stocks outside of Japan sagged 0.5 percent.

Tokyo stocks have risen only some 1.6 percent this quarter as major exporters were weighed down by the yen's surge to near 15-year highs against the dollar.

The MSCI ex-Japan index has risen nearly 10 percent in September, while the S&P 500 has gained more than 10 percent, prompting some analysts to predict more profit taking in coming sessions.

DOLLAR GETS A REPRIEVE

The dollar was trading at 84.20 yen at 0640 GMT, little changed from the New York close but up from levels around 84.11 -- its weakest point since Tokyo's heavy intervention two weeks ago to push its currency lower.

Sources said the Bank of Japan was considering whether to ease monetary policy further, though it could delay action pending a consensus on how to keep economic recovery on track. Talk of easing had an effect as did the possibility of intervention.

"The market consensus is now that there won't be endless yen strengthening, that if the dollar falls below 84 yen authorities are likely to intervene," said Kenichi Hirano, operating officer at Tachibana Securities.

The dollar index hit a seven-month trough of 79.19 on Monday, before climbing back in Asia.

Still, many traders believed the dollar remains locked in a downtrend as any future quantitative easing by the Fed would probably still be more aggressive than that of other central banks.

A trader at a Japanese brokerage house said currencies like the euro and Australian dollar "have rallied so much so far this month that their momentum is waning a little bit. But that is just a short-term thing."

The Australian dollar edged down from near two-year highs at $0.9584, while the euro stood at $1.3438, away from Monday's peak of $1.3507 following Moody's decision to cut its ratings on some lower-grade debt of Ireland's Anglo Irish Bank.

The downgrade rattled markets, further jolted by a pledge by the opposition to seek an early election. The rising cost of rescuing the bank, nationalised during the 2009 banking crisis, has heaped pressure on Ireland's already strained state finances.

Gold dipped after hitting a record high of $1,300 an ounce in the previous session as a rebound in the dollar prompted speculators to lock in gains.

Crude oil futures fell 90 cents to $75.62 a barrel ahead of U.S. reports expected to show fuel stockpiles rose in the world's top oil-consuming nation last week. (Editing by Tomasz Janowski & Kim Coghill)

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