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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, bonds fall on Western govt debt fears

Published 05/28/2009, 07:36 AM
Updated 05/28/2009, 07:40 AM

* MSCI world equity index down 0.6 percent at 240.47

* Western govt debt fears knock U.S., euro zone bonds

* Dollar gains vs yen after Moody's affirms U.S. rating

By Natsuko Waki

LONDON, May 28 (Reuters) - Global shares fell from recent 2009 highs on Thursday while government bonds tumbled around the world, dragged down by investor concern about mounting Western government debt.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield hit a six-month high on Wednesday after fears grew that the United States is taking on huge debt to revive economic demand against a background of a record budget deficit.

Government bonds in the euro zone and Japan also fell, fanning concerns that rising yields would push up borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, choking off a potential economic recovery.

"Bond yields are rising from extremely depressed levels, and they show that expectations for the economy are improving," said Bernard McAlinden, investment strategist at NCB Stockbrokers, in Dublin.

"People are worried about inflation with all the money that's being pumped into the system. That could nip the economic recovery in the bud."

The MSCI world equity index fell 0.6 percent, off the six-month high hit on May 20, while the FTSEurofirst 300 index of pan-European blue-chip shares eased 1.3 percent.

U.S. stock futures were up around 0.3 percent, pointing to a firmer open on Wall Street later.

Emerging stocks proved more resilient with a gain of 0.2 percent, clinging onto recent gains that have taken them to seven-month highs.

Emerging market debt spreads widened 7 bps, hovering at October levels of 447 bps over Treasuries.

The dollar rose 1.7 percent to 96.92 yen after ratings agency Moody's affirmed its triple-A credit rating on the United States.

But the agency also warned that the rating would come under pressure if Washington failed to reduce debt levels.

Against a basket of major currencies, the dollar was steady , off a 4-1/2 month low set last week.

U.S. crude oil stayed near its six-month highs, peeking above $63 a barrel, helped by data from the American Petroleum Institute showing a larger-than-expected drawdown in crude stocks last week.

After hitting 3.74 percent on Wednesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield ticked lower to 3.682 percent. The June bund future fell 36 ticks with the 10-year euro zone yield trading at 3.665 percent.

The benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose to a six-month peak of 1.5 percent.

Short-term notes traded firmer, pressuring the yield, thanks to the Bank of Japan's easy monetary policy under which it buys commercial paper and corporate bonds from banks.

"Over the past week, the fixed income market has moved from mirroring developments in stocks, to taking the driving seat and conditioning the price action in other markets," Goldman Sachs said in a note to clients.

"We hold the view that the rates market has now priced in more than enough the improvement in growth indicators." (Additional reporting by Brian Gorman; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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