🔺 What to do when markets are at an all-time high? Find smart bargains, like these.See Undervalued Stocks

GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil down with focus on Libya; stocks flat

Published 04/11/2011, 02:08 PM
Updated 04/11/2011, 02:12 PM
EUR/JPY
-
NDX
-
US500
-
DJI
-
AA
-
BARC
-
GC
-
HG
-
CL
-

* Crude falls, Goldman Sachs advises taking profits

* US stocks flat; Alcoa to report after market's close

* Rate expectations send Bund yield above 3.5 percent

* Dollar up vs euro after U.S. government shutdown avoided (Adds comment, details, updates prices)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, April 11 (Reuters) - Crude oil prices fell sharply on Monday after surging last week as investors warily eyed efforts to halt Libya's conflict, while the dollar rose against the euro after the U.S. government averted a potential shutdown.

U.S. stocks pared early gains to trade little changed, with investors nervously awaiting companies' quarterly results to see if earnings would be strong enough to spark further gains in equities.

Aluminum maker Alcoa will mark the unofficial start of the quarterly earnings season when it reports results after the market's close on Monday. Profits for S&P 500 companies are seen rising 11.4 percent from a year ago, according to Thomson Reuters data. See [ID:nN07256466]

"There's a question of whether companies can meet the fairly optimistic expectations," said John Carey, portfolio manager at Pioneer Investment Management in Boston, which has about $260 billion in assets under management. "There's potential for disappointment, but if they come in line or above, the market could experience a continued rally."

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 5.11 points, or 0.04 percent, at 12,383.72. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was down 2.77 points, or 0.21 percent, at 1,325.45. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was off 10.54 points, or 0.38 percent, at 2769.70.

ICE Brent crude for May was last down $2.06 at $124.59 a barrel. U.S. crude for May delivery fell $2.39 cents to $110.39 a barrel. U.S. crude fell further after long-term commodity bull Goldman Sachs recommended clients take profits after recent 30-month highs.

The African Union said Muammar Gaddafi had accepted a road map to end the civil war, but forces loyal to him shelled the town of Misrata. A broker said oil also fell on profit-taking. For details, see [ID:nL3E7FB0Z5]

Analysts were skeptical about the peace deal. And even if an end to the civil war is in sight, it will be some time before Libyan exports return to pre-conflict levels.

"Some of Libya's oil fields, which have recently come under attack, have suffered severe damage, which is likely to have a long-lasting negative impact on the country's production profile," said Amrita Sen at Barclays Capital. "We don't believe there is reason to be optimistic even if Gaddafi were to step down, as the power vacuum would be very large."

World stocks as measured by MSCI <.MIWD00000PUS> were down 0.3 percent, with emerging markets <.MSCIEF> off 0.5 percent. European stocks fell, with the FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top European shares down 0.2 percent.

Although the world economy is fairly robust, investors increasingly expect higher commodity prices to drive up inflation, prompting central banks to tighten monetary policy sooner.

The International Monetary Fund said on Monday it did not believe that rising commodity prices will derail the global economic recovery but warned inflation will remain elevated for a while.

GREENBACK GAINS LIMITED

The dollar rose against the euro after the U.S. Congress on Friday reached a last-minute budget deal that avoided a government shutdown, though traders said the focus on the U.S. debt ceiling debate could limit any gains.

A rebound in the dollar was also overdue after it fell against the euro for the past four months. For the month of April, the dollar was still down more than 2 percent.

The euro fell 0.3 percent to $1.4440, after hitting a 15-month high around $1.4486 last Friday. The high on electronic trading platform EBS was $1.4485.

"We're having some sort of relief rally after the U.S. government did not shut down as feared," said David Watt, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto.

The yen was off an 11-month low against the euro and a 2-1/2-year trough versus the Australian dollar as another earthquake in Japan led some investors to close riskier bets funded by cheap borrowing in the Japanese currency. [ID:nL3E7FA058]

The strong aftershock in Japan unnerved some investors, driving down copper prices after they earlier reached five-week highs on a weaker dollar and robust imports by top consumer China.

The euro touched its highest against the yen since May 2010 of 123.33 yen on trading platform EBS. It later gave up gains and was last down 0.5 percent at 122.07 yen.

Expectations of another rise in European Central Bank interest rates by July kept the euro close to recent highs and pushed euro zone government bond prices lower. German Bund yields briefly rose above 3.5 percent for the first time since August 2009. (Additional reporting by Ryan Vlastelica and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York; Jeremy Gaunt, Saikat Chatterjee, Blaise Robinson and Anirban Nag in London; Editing by Kenneth Barry)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.