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GLOBAL MARKETS-Gold surges, retreats as dollar bounces

Published 11/12/2009, 01:56 PM
Updated 11/12/2009, 02:03 PM
AUD/USD
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(Adds comments, updates prices and indexes)

* Gold hits record high above $1,120, then retreats

* Stocks edge lower, U.S. dollar, Wal-Mart outlook weighs

* Dollar firmer but still near 15-month lows

By Jeremy Gaunt and Al Yoon

LONDON/NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Gold rose above $1,120 an ounce to a fresh record high before retreating on Thursday and global stocks weakened, particularly in emerging markets.

Stocks were hurt as the U.S. dollar strengthened against other currencies, largely on technical factors.

But the greenback remained close to 15-month lows, with little sign of a solid rebound, and that helped gold.

The metal pushed to a record high because of recent dollar weakness , and then declined $8.85 to $1,108.90 as the currency recovered. A weak greenback makes metals priced in dollars less expensive for holders of other currencies.

"We see continuous inflows from financial investors almost on a daily basis, real interest rates are still lower and the dollar is weakening, so the three pillars of this gold rally are still in place," said Tobias Merath, head of commodity research at Credit Suisse.

The dollar rose after the euro failed to break through and hold above the psychologically important 1.50 level. The euro declined 0.81 percent to $1.486. The dollar rose 0.68 percent against the yen, to 90.43 yen.

Prospects that U.S. interest rates will remain at negligible levels for some time are weighing on the currency. On Thursday the dollar rebounded 0.61 percent against a basket of major currencies but is still down nearly 1 percent this month and 14.5 percent since early March.

With a light economic data calendar on Thursday, apart from strong Australian jobs numbers that boosted the Aussie dollar to a 15-month high, the broader market consolidated.

In the U.S., the Labor Department reported that first time claims for unemployment insurance fell to 502,000 in the latest week from 514,000 in the previous period. That was less than forecast, but still supported the view of a fragile recovery.

STOCKS WEAKER

World stocks weakened, with the MSCI all-country world index <.MIWD00000PUS> down 0.78 percent and the emerging market component <.MSCIEF> off 1.21 percent.

The main U.S. indexes drifted lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI> at midday was busting a six-session rally as a stronger dollar hurt commodity shares. Wal-Mart Stores Inc , the world's biggest retailer, forecast holiday profit that could miss Wall Street expectations but its shares still managed a slight gain.

The Dow Jones average fell 58.80 points, or 0.57 percent, to 10,232.46. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> declined 7.49 points, or 0.68 percent, to 1,091.02 and the Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC edged lower by 8.74 points to 2,158.16.

European shares dropped with the FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index off 0.1 percent to 1,014.91.

Investors globally remained fairly bullish, however, with signs parts of the world economy are gaining traction.

The Baltic Dry Freight Index <.BADI>, which can be a proxy for world trade patterns, rose 5.5 percent, pushed up by freight of iron ore to China.

"A 10th straight increase for the Baltic Dry and a 15-month high for AUD/USD (Australian/U.S. dollar) do not imply that sentiment is about to turn over," Kenneth Brough, an economist at Lloyds TSB, said in a research note.

Euro zone government bonds yields fell as stock weakness boosted demand. U.S. Treasuries declined after disappointing demand at a record $16 billion auction of 30-year bonds, which wrapped up $81 billion of sales this week.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose by 0.02 percentage point to 3.50 percent.

(Additional reporting by Jan Harvey in London and Nick Olivari in New York; Editing by Andrew Hay)

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