NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Yen hits 14-year high on Dubai woes; dollar gains

Published 11/27/2009, 10:04 AM
Updated 11/27/2009, 10:06 AM
GC
-

* Yen hits 14-year high on dollar, breaches 85 yen

* Riskier positions unwound on concerns about Dubai debt

* Japan finance minister raises prospect of G7 statement

(Updates prices, adds quote, changes byline, changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Nov 27 (Reuters) - The yen hit a 14-year high against the dollar on Friday, while the greenback rose versus most other major rivals as fears of a possible Dubai debt default boosted safe-haven demand for the U.S. and Japanese currencies.

The yen later retreated versus the dollar, but it remained higher against the euro and higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars as investors cut risk exposure.

The Bank of Japan stepped closer to currency intervention on Friday than at any time in the last five years by checking exchange rates with commercial banks. Still, market sources said intervention was highly unlikely in the short term. For details, see [ID:nT35213].

Japanese National Strategy Minister Naoto Kan said on Friday the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan will act together to deal with the rise in the yen and that he was considering measures himself.

"Clearly, it's a reduction in risk appetite as a result of the Dubai story, which is helping support the dollar and putting heavy selling pressure on risk assets across the board," said Omer Esiner, senior market analyst at Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington.

"The yen, like the dollar, stands to benefit from a further reduction in risk appetite," he added. "Right now, I don't think the BOJ would intervene in the immediate future."

The dollar fell as far as 84.83 yen , its weakest since 1995 and ever closer to its record low of 79.75, before pulling back up to 86.91 yen, up 0.5 percent on the day.

Dubai struggled to ease fears of debt default on Thursday after its move to delay repayments at two flagship firms shook confidence in the Middle East and raised the prospect of further huge debt write-offs for banks. [ID:nGEE5AO2FN].

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, a measure of its value against six major currencies, was up 0.7 percent at 75.335 <.DXY>, having been up around 1 percent earlier.

The euro was down 0.8 percent at $1.4892 , having earlier slid as low as $1.4830, more then 3 cents down from a 15-month high of $1.5144 reached on Wednesday.

"It is likely to take at least a few days before the implications of the impact of a possible default from Dubai are properly digested, but for the present it seems that the market is seeing this negative news as a blow to the global recovery but not one that will push it off course," said Jane Foley, chief strategist at FOREX.com.

JAPAN IN SPOTLIGHT

Earlier, Japan signaled growing discomfort with the yen's surge and suggested it would be open to a Group of Seven joint statement on currencies to stem the rise. But joint intervention was extremely unlikely, they said.

G7 countries issued a statement in October 2008 when the yen rallied against other major currencies, so traders and analysts said a joint statement was possible.

The speed and scale of dollar/yen's fall was such that a recovery was always likely, analysts say, particularly after Japan's Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said the moves were "extreme" and it was possible Japan could respond.

"FX markets are nervous as Dubai debt contagion fears fueled a flight to quality bid, which favored the dollar. The yen benefited via the crosses, but FX intervention risk rose significantly overnight," said Russell Bloom, analyst at Action Economics in London.

U.S. stocks opened lower while oil was down 5 percent , and gold fell. weighing on commodity-linked currencies. The Australian dollar fell 1.3 percent against the dollar and the New Zealand dollar lost 1.6 percent versus the greenback .

Implied volatilities on one-week euro/dollar currency options rose to 13 percent earlier, a high not seen since June.

One-week implied volatilities on dollar/yen options surged above 18 percent for the first time since April, sharply up from a 2009 low of 5 percent earlier this week. (Additional reporting by Jamie McGeever; Editing by Kenneth Barry) ((wanfeng.zhou@thomsonreuters.com; +1 646 223 6304; Reuters Messaging: wanfeng.zhou.reuters.com@reuters.net)) ((Multimedia versions of Reuters Top News are now available for: * 3000 Xtra: visit http://topnews.session.rservices.com

* BridgeStation: view story .134 For more information on Top News: http://topnews.reuters.com))

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.