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FOREX-Yen gains as weaker stocks raise risk aversion

Published 02/12/2009, 02:08 AM
Updated 02/12/2009, 02:16 AM

* Yen higher as investors seek safety in Japanese currency

* Japanese shares fall, U.S. financial plan disappoints

* Markets unimpressed by $789 bln U.S. package agreement

* Aussie falls after parliament rejects stimulus plan

By Kaori Kaneko

TOKYO, Feb 12 (Reuters) - The yen rose against other major currencies in safe-haven trades on Thursday, with investors shying away from risk as Japanese share prices fell on disappointment over financial rescue plans in the United States.

The yen was well-bid as a 3 percent fall in the Nikkei average prompted Japanese investors returning from a public holiday on Wednesday to seek safety in the currency.

U.S. congressional negotiators reached a deal on Wednesday on $789 billion in emergency spending and tax cuts aimed at pulling the economy out of a deepening recession, and voting on it could take place as early as on Thursday.

But the agreement failed to ease investors' caution.

"What the U.S. is trying to do is heading in the right direction and its efforts will bring positive effects on the economy, but it will take time and it's hard to predict when," said Minoru Shioiri, chief manager at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.

Disappointment also continued over lack of detail in a separate $2 trillion rescue programme for U.S. banks unveiled on Tuesday, especially over how a public-private partnership would buy up bad assets, leaving traders in Tokyo to take their cue from share markets.

"Everyone wants more detail. They don't seem to be comforted by vague assurances," one trader at a European bank said.

U.S. stock futures hovered in negative territory, signalling a weak start on Wall Street, and the MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks excluding Japan fell 1 percent.

Analysts said investors hoped government efforts to lift economies would gain traction soon but meanwhile poor data continued to come through, limiting market direction.

Japanese wholesale prices fell in the year to January, the first such drop in five years, bringing the economy closer to its second bout of deflation in a decade.

Data due next week is expected to show the world's second-largest economy shrank at its fastest pace since 1974 in the final three months of 2008.

The dollar fell 0.4 percent from late U.S. trading on Wednesday to 90.03 yen.

The euro was unchanged at $1.2903 but fell 0.4 percent to 116.14 yen.

AUSSIE TUMBLES

The Australian dollar fell 0.25 percent to $0.6535 after parliament rejected the government's A$42 billion ($28 billion) economic stimulus plan, delaying the timing of cash payments to millions of workers and families.

The government will reintroduce the bill and is still expected to get it passed eventually.

But the delay could add to the case for another rate cut and the news knocked the Aussie into reverse from gains made earlier on data showing a surprise rise in employment.

The Aussie also tumbled against the yen, dropping 0.7 percent to 58.83 yen.

Group of Seven finance ministers meet in Rome on Friday and Saturday and U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will urge his counterparts to take bold action to pull the global economy out of recession and prop up financial institutions.

A Treasury official said Geithner will also brief other participants on the new U.S. financial bailout plans..

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen said in an interview published on Thursday that the worst of the global financial crisis may be yet to come, and the crisis seemed to be lasting longer and spreading.

ECB board member Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell said the central bank had not exhausted its interest rate policy and was considering how to proceed.

The ECB kept rates at 2.0 percent at its February policy meeting last week but President Jean-Claude Trichet signalled that a rate cut could come in March.

Sterling fell 0.2 percent to $1.4384 after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said the central bank will probably have to ease monetary policy further and could start quantitative easing. (Editing by Michael Watson)

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