Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-U.S. dollar down as Iran news, positioning weigh

Published 02/16/2011, 04:47 PM
Updated 02/16/2011, 04:48 PM
EUR/CHF
-
LCO
-
CL
-

* Swiss franc, euro gain on Iran concerns

* Dollar rally vs yen loses steam despite economic data

* Sterling slides on BOE inflation report (Updates prices, adds quote, Fed comments, details)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Feb 16 (Reuters) - The dollar sank on Wednesday as news Iranian warships were en route to Syria rekindled geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, sparking a spike in oil and a surge in traditional safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc.

Technical factors and market positioning also weighed on the dollar, especially against the euro, as investors holding short euros got squeezed when the greenback fell and crude oil rose. The dollar's losses, however, should prove short-lived, some analysts said, with the currency supported by a recent spate of positive U.S. economic data.

"The Iran story is certainly escalating the geopolitical risk," said Greg Salvaggio, senior vice president of capital markets at Tempus Consulting in Washington.

Israel's foreign minister said moves by two Iranian war ships to sail through the Suez canal to Syria were a "provocation" by Tehran. For more, see: [nLDE71F2BQ]

"We got a move away from the dollar because oil prices went up after the Iranian news. But we think this is just a short-term push up in the euro versus the dollar. We love the U.S. data this morning."

In general, the greenback tends to fall when oil prices, which are denominated in dollars, rise because it becomes cheaper for overseas investors holding foreign currencies to buy crude oil.

Brent oil prices surged to near 2-1/2-year highs on the Iran news. [ID:nL3E7DG07P]

In late afternoon trading, the euro rose 0.5 percent against the dollar to $1.3562 , its second consecutive daily gain. Investors short the euro tried to push the currency below $1.3480, the roughly 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the euro's January to February rally.

The euro got as low as $1.3462 on electronic trading platform EBS in the wake of Wednesday's positive U.S. data, but it quickly rebounded on short-covering.

The Swiss franc, a traditional safe-haven, especially during times of geopolitical turmoil, rose, pushing the dollar down 0.8 percent to 0.9597 francs . It soared nearly 1 percent after the news broke.

The franc has risen against the dollar for three straight sessions and has gained roughly 2.5 percent so far.

The Swiss currency also edged up against the euro , which slipped 0.2 percent to 1.3016 francs. On the month, the euro was still up 0.7 percent.

Meanwhile, the dollar's nearly two-week rally against the yen came to a halt, with earlier gains erased as U.S. Treasury yields fell on the Middle East news. U.S. inflation and housing data sent Treasury yields higher early in the session. [ID:nLLAGDE7BN] [ID:nCAT005381

The dollar has outperformed the yen in nine of the past 11 sessions as U.S. Treasury yields factored in inflation. In late afternoon New York trading, the dollar was down 0.1 percent at 83.67 .

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released the minutes of its last meeting and echoed Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony to the House of Representatives last week. The U.S. central bank was optimistic about prospects for the economy, but it was not bullish enough for markets to change its expectations that the Fed's debt purchases, known as quantitative easing, will last until June. [ID:nN16297279].

The dollar showed little reaction after the Fed minutes, although the comments added to the greenback's generally positive tone this month.

Sterling fell sharply as investors revised expectations for a rate rise after the Bank of England downgraded its economic growth forecast in its quarterly inflation report, even as consumer prices spiked higher.

Sterling fell to the day's low of $1.5987, compared with around $1.6140 before the Bank of England's quarterly report on inflation was released. It was last at $1.6083, down 0.2 percent. (Additional reporting by Julie Haviv; Editing by Dan Grebler)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.