🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

FOREX-RBA buoys Aussie, euro slips as profits pocketed

Published 05/05/2009, 02:32 AM
Updated 05/05/2009, 02:48 AM
BNPP
-
CBA
-

* Aussie holds close to 7-mth highs after RBA holds rates

* Profit-taking on euro, others vs dollar, yen

* Some caution ahead U.S. banks' stress tests

* Tokyo markets on holiday, trade lighter than usual

By Charlotte Cooper

TOKYO, May 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar held near seven-month highs on the U.S. dollar and yen after its central bank kept rates steady, while the euro and sterling saw profit-taking on investor caution ahead of U.S. bank stress test results.

The Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday kept its benchmark cash rate on hold at a record low of 3.0 percent, helping buoy the Aussie after investors pocketed profits on its recent gains and wariness of a possible surprise cut also took the edge of it.

News that about 10 U.S. banks being stress tested were likely to need more capital also injected a note of caution into a market made less liquid than usual by a three-day holiday in Tokyo.

U.S. regulators have deemed about 10 of 19 banks will need more capital, according to a source familiar with the talks. Results of the tests are expected on Thursday.

"We did see a big move overnight so the market is thinking people are quite long so we'll take away some profits -- so that's one factor driving the adjustment," said Sharada Selvanathan, currency strategist at BNP Paribas in Hong Kong.

But analysts said some were concerned about the results of the stress tests and how banks would get capital.

"The market is very split. We do see a lot of positive sentiment but those who are bears are using the big moves to unwind positions and to sell at these levels," Selvanathan said.

The Australian dollar hit a seven-month high of $0.7427 in early trade. Profit-taking took it down below $0.7400 but after the RBA decision it recovered back to $0.7407.

Against the yen it was flat at 73.16 yen, although down from Monday's seven-month peak of 73.57 yen.

Analysts said the central bank looked like it was now taking a wait-and-see approach to monetary policy.

"While risks still lie with further rate cuts, the period of big aggressive moves has come to an end, so it will now be smaller moves, dependent on the data trends," said Michael Blythe, chief economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

PRECAUTION PROFIT-TAKING

The dollar was steady at 98.83 yen, down from a two-week high at 99.57 on Monday and on a basket of currencies it rose 0.3 percent.

The euro slipped 0.3 percent $1.3383 after earlier brushing its highest in a month at $1.3439 on trading platform EBS as it tried to extend a 1 percent jump on Monday.

It hit a three-week high of 132.87 yen on Monday but was off 0.2 percent on the day on Tuesday to 132.23 yen.

Commodity-related currencies and sterling have all gained in the past two to three months against the dollar and yen as optimism spreads that the deepest economic slump in decades may have bottomed out.

That improving sentiment has fuelled gains in stock markets, with better news on manufacturing in Europe, China and India and positive signs on U.S. home sales and construction on Monday stoking those hopes.

Traders and analysts in Asia were cautious however that the gains were becoming overstretched and the round of profit-taking in Asia showed underlying confidence remained fickle.

"It's a been a long rally. It just looks like it's starting to get a bit exhausted," said Mitul Kotecha, global head of FX strategy at Calyon in Hong Kong.

The pound had looked set for a test of a potential four-month high against the dollar but retreated 0.2 percent from late U.S. trading levels to $1.5017 and shed 0.2 percent on the yen. (Additional report by Anirban Nag in SYDNEY; Editing by Jan Dahinten)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.