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FOREX-Euro slides on Ireland, Greece restructuring talk

Published 04/15/2011, 09:30 AM
Updated 04/15/2011, 09:36 AM
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* Euro slips on two-notch Ireland cut by Moody's

* Euro brushes off higher-than-expected euro zone CPI data

* U.S. core consumer prices contained

(Updates prices, adds quote, U.S. data, changes byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, April 15 (Reuters) - The euro slid on Friday after Moody's cut Ireland's rating to just above 'junk' status, keeping the currency's debt problems in focus, though it remained underpinned by expectations for further interest rate rises.

Also helping limit losses especially against the U.S. dollar was a widely-held view U.S. interest rates will stay low for some time. Several top Federal Reserve officials have sounded relaxed about inflation and data on Friday supported that. For Fed comments, click on [ID:nN14167673].

Data showed U.S. core consumer prices for March were contained, suggesting the Fed was still a long way away from tightening monetary policy. The headline annual inflation rose due to the spike in gasoline prices, but analysts considered that rise temporary. See [ID:nOAT004787].

In contrast, investors are pricing in the chances of two more European Central Bank rate increases before the end of this year after the ECB raised rates by 25 basis points last week .

"The euro is in the middle of a tug-of-war between rate expectations and sovereign debt concerns. Right now, the euro pulled back a little bit because of the Ireland downgrade and concerns about the Greek debt restructuring." said Brian Kim, currency strategist at UBS in New York.

"But we're still trading near $1.45. So in the end, it's still rate expectations that will dictate direction and will keep the euro supported."

In addition, euro zone inflation numbers surprised on the upside, backing views that the ECB will continue to raise rates in coming months. [ID:nBRLFFE7CY]

In early new York trading, the euro fell 0.4 percent on the day to $1.4427 , well below a 15-month high of $1.4521 touched earlier this week. Traders said market ran stop orders below $1.4430, pushing the euro to session lows at $1.4407 on electronic trading platform EBS.

There were reportedly Asian central banks had bids at $1.4415/20 and then at $1.4385/90, which is the 200-hour moving average and a key pivot.

The euro's losses gathered pace after Moody's cut Ireland's sovereign rating by two notches to Baa3 and left the outlook negative, citing an expected deterioration in the Irish government's financial strength and the country's weaker economic growth outlook. [ID:nLDE73E0DU]

Market players said the euro could find the going tough above $1.45 given concern about sovereign debt problems, which escalated this week as concerns about a possible Greek restructuring intensified. [ID:nLDE73D0XQ]

Still some asset managers are prefer to focus less on the region;s fiscal debt problems.

Japan's Kokusai Asset Management said it plans to increase the weighting of euro-denominated bonds in its $33 billion bond fund, the world's second largest, due to a solid outlook for euro zone economies. [ID:nL3E7FF0VV]

The dollar, meanwhile, was down 0.5 percent at 83.12 yen , but losses were limited. Traders said Japanese life insurance companies have been buying the dollar and euro at its lows with stops in the dollar/yen pair building below 83 yen.

Dollar losses accelerated after the U.S. inflation data.

"The data is solidly risk appetite-friendly and will only add to the recent tendency to defer the first Fed tightening well into 2012. For the moment, it gives the Fed doves additional staying power not to mention power at the FOMC table," said Alan Ruskin, global head of G10 currency strategy at Deutsche Bank in New York. (Additional reporting by Anirban Nag in London)

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