Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Euro recoups loss, stg down on UK poll uncertainty

Published 05/07/2010, 05:36 AM
Updated 05/07/2010, 05:48 AM
EUR/JPY
-

* Euro up 0.5 pct at $1.2725 but trade volatile

* Euro on track for biggest weekly loss vs dlr since Oct '08

* Stg hits 1-yr low on political uncertainty as vote unclear

(Adds quotes, updates prices)

By Tamawa Desai

LONDON, May 7 (Reuters) - The euro clawed back losses on Friday but was on track for big falls on the week as concerns that Greece's debt problems would spread to other euro zone countries and beyond spurred investors to shed risk assets.

The euro recouped losses after falling to its lowest since December 2001 against the yen on Thursday and hitting a 14-month low against the dollar. But the rebound was seen limited.

"It's very difficult to see how markets can draw a line under Greece, and they will keep coming back to the issue of Greek solvency," said Adam Cole, global head of FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

European shares fell to 3-month lows in mid-morning trade.

The euro rose as high as $1.2773 but was down about 4.5 percent on the week and on course for its worst weekly performance since October 2008. By 0853 GMT, it was up 0.5 percent at $1.2725 .

Traders cited option barriers around $1.2500.

Risk averse markets made for volatile conditions. Euro/dollar vols were trading at year-to-date highs, though still some way off the record levels seen in the wake of the Lehman collapse in 2008.

One-month euro implied volatility was at 16.00 compared to around 28.00 at the peak of the Lehman fallout. The risk reversal moved further in favour of the downside, with one-month 25-delta around 2.75 for euro puts.

Against the yen, the euro stood at 117.19 yen , up 2.2 percent after falling to 110.49 yen on EBS on Thursday.

The European Central Bank was due to hold a conference call with commercial banks to discuss money market conditions. [ID:nWLA3375]

Separately, Group of Seven finance ministers were to discuss the Greek debt crisis in a call on Friday, although Japan's finance minister said he did not think they were considering joint currency intervention. [ID:nN06238681] [nTOE646036]

"The contagion is spreading and creating panic in financial markets," said Lee Hardman, currency economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ. "The news of the G7 call has soothed, but it is doubtful that will last."

HUNG PARLIAMENT

Sterling sank to a one-year low against the dollar and fell sharply against the euro as almost complete results of a UK general election showed there would be a so-called hung parliament with no one party holding control. [GBP/]

The opposition Conservatives were forecast to become the biggest party but were seen falling just short of an outright majority in parliament.

"The outcome could not have been more negative as the market was waiting for a clear-cut winner either way. It now seems neither the Conservatives nor a Labour/Liberal Democrats coalition can form a majority, so there is maximum uncertainty," said RBC's Cole. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

For a graphic of the election response in the gilt and sterling markets, click

http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/10/UK_ELMR0510.gif ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

The renewed rush to safety supported the dollar and the yen after U.S. stocks plunged 9 percent in the last two hours of trading on Thursday partly due to a suspected trading glitch before erasing some losses. [.N]

The dollar index <=USD><.DXY> was at 84.91, not far from Thursday's one-year high of 85.27. The dollar rose above 92.00 yen , after hitting 87.95 yen on Thursday when it shed nearly 4 percent.

The dollar could get a boost if the U.S. employment report later in the day shows 200,000 jobs were added in April, as forecast, up from 162,000 in March. [ID:nN03205134].

(Additional reporting by Neal Armstrong in London and Satomi Noguchi in Tokyo)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.