👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

FOREX-Euro plagued by Greek debt worries, Aussie slides

Published 10/04/2011, 08:11 AM
Updated 10/04/2011, 08:16 AM
BARC
-
CBA
-
MS
-
DEXI
-
SCOP
-
BIG
-

(Adds quote, details, updates prices)

* Euro hits 9-month low versus dollar, 10-yr low versus yen

* Threat of Greek default spooks investors, hits risky FX

* Dollar index rises to 9-month high, Aussie slides

By Naomi Tajitsu

LONDON, Oct 4 (Reuters) - The euro hit a nine-month low against the dollar and a 10-year trough against the yen on Tuesday as euro zone policymakers failed to quell rising speculation of a Greek debt default, hitting riskier currencies and boosting the greenback.

The single currency fell to $1.3145, its weakest since January as a 3 percent slide in European stocks and a collapse in the shares of Franco-Belgian banking group Dexia -- which has hefty exposure to Greek debt -- pushed investors into the safety of the world's most liquid currency.

Investors see a growing possibility of a default in Athens as euro zone finance ministers look to force banks to take bigger losses on their Greek debt holdings, while the next aid tranche for the country has been delayed until mid-November.

Dexia's precipitous drop highlights the potential impact of a Greek default on the euro zone banking sector.

The euro pared some of its losses to trade 0.2 percent higher on the day at $1.3200, but traders and analysts said the move was driven by profit taking on the latest slide, and many expected it would fall further.

"The newsflow remains very much on the negative side, so we have to be cautious about the rebound in the euro," said Ian Stannard, currency strategist at Morgan Stanley.

"There has been very little progress at the finance ministers' meeting and a delay in the next bailout funds for Greece. This signals that progress is not being made (in solving the debt crisis), leaving the euro vulnerable."

Market participants said an option with a strike price of $1.32 was expiring later in the day, which may anchor the single currency in the very near term. Stronger demand was located around large $1.3100 barriers.

Technical traders said the outlook for the common currency had turned increasingly negative after a bearish cross on the 50- and 200-day moving averages, while support was seen at $1.3040, a 61.8 percent retracement of the rally from $1.1876 in June 2010 to $1.4940 in May 2011.

Stannard at Morgan Stanley anticipated more weakness for the euro, particularly given that the European Central Bank may be poised to signal it will ease monetary policy to support the euro zone economy through the debt storm.

As a result, the euro could fall below $1.30 this week, he said, while strategists at Barclays Capital forecast a fall to $1.25 in the next three months.

"The market is increasingly worried about the ... Greek crisis and the calamity that could be created if there was a messy default." said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank.

The euro also hit a 10-year low of 100.77 yen before recovering to trade with gains of 0.3 percent at 101.10. Some analysts said extreme short positioning for the euro could limit scope for significant falls in the near term.

The dollar was a big beneficiary of the euro's weakness, climbing as high as 79.823 against a currency basket, its strongest since mid-January. It also hit a six-month high versus the Swiss franc .

The greenback was little changed against the yen at 76.68 yen .

AUSSIE HIT

The Australian dollar hit a one-year low of US$0.9414 , down around 15 percent from a 29-year high reached in July, as an increasing number of investors start to worry about Chinese growth, which many had counted on as the main growth driver globally as developed economies flop.

The commodities-driven Australian currency extended losses after the country's Reserve Bank opened the door to possible monetary easing as early as next month if upcoming inflation data proves to be benign.

From a technical standpoint, it looks prone to more selling given a "death cross" of the 50-day moving average over the 200-day average, the first such formation in more than a year.

Traders cited decent bids around $0.9400, which could offer short-term support, but Commonwealth Bank of Australia expects the Aussie fall below 90 U.S. cents in the next month or so.

The Canadian dollar also slipped, to a one-year low of C$1.0577 .

As concerns about a global economic downturn escalate, investors awaited testimony later in the day from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who will speak on the economic outlook. Many in the market expect bearish prospects for the already sluggish U.S. economy would weigh on risky assets.

(Additional reporting by Neal Armstrong; Editing by John Stonestreet)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.