FOREX-Euro falls to 7-week low; US dollar gains broadly

Published 11/16/2010, 02:47 PM
Updated 11/16/2010, 02:48 PM

* Euro falls through $1.35 on Irish, Greek debt woes

* US dollar index climbs to seven-week high

* Aussie, Canada dollars fall on risk aversion (Updates prices, adds comment)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Nov 16 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a seven-week low against the dollar on Tuesday amid heightened worries about a deepening euro zone debt crisis, with losses accelerating after breaking key support levels.

The safe-haven dollar climbed to a seven-week peak versus a basket of currencies as sharply lower stock and commodities prices hit risk appetite and prompted investors to unwind bets against the U.S. currency built up in recent months.

The euro dipped below $1.3450 after taking out options barriers and significant support in the $1.3550-60 area. The single currency will likely stay weak in the near term as investors focus on debt troubles in Ireland and other European peripheral economies.

European officials are weighing a rescue package of 80 billion to 100 billion euros for Ireland and a separate, smaller bailout for its banking sector, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday. For details, see [ID:nLDE6AE2AI]

Ireland has come under intense pressure over its debt crunch in recent weeks, with a top European Union official saying the future of the 27-country union was at stake.

"What's driving the euro is just all the sovereign risk out of Europe," said Jack Iles, a portfolio manager at MFC Global Investment Management in Boston. "That's driving sentiment across the board for risk assets and that probably will not go away in the next 48 hours."

Adding to worries was news that Greece will most probably miss its fiscal targets this year and next and that Austria has not yet submitted its contribution to the aid package for Greece for December. An official from Austria said it is not seeking to block aid for Greece. [ID:nLDE6AF1R6] [ID:nLDE6AF1Z8]

The euro hit a session low of $1.3446 on trading platform EBS , its weakest since Sept. 28, before pulling back to trade at $1.3484, off 0.7 percent. Upside is seen limited with dealers noting real money selling and offers at $1.35.

Support levels include $1.3463, a 50 percent retracement of the euro's September-November rally, and $1.3364, a 38.2 percent retracement of its June-November rally.

Traders also noted key support at $1.3334, the euro's high set in early August before markets began to speculate about the Federal Reserve's second-round of bond buying.

European finance ministers are meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday and will try to reach a deal to provide aid to Ireland. Some analysts said the euro may see a reprieve on news of an agreement as it would ease concern that Irish debt woes could spread to other economies such as Portugal and Spain.

But Kathy Lien, director of research at GFT in New York, said an agreement on a bailout would be bearish for the euro. "On the day news of a Greek bailout emerged, the euro fell about 100 pips and went on to fall further in the weeks that followed. I don't see any solid support in the euro until $1.34," she said.

RISKIER CURRENCIES FALL

Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed currency speculators cut long euro positions significantly in the latest week as they continued to trim bets against the dollar. [IMM/FX]

Traders said leveraged funds had flipped long euro/dollar positions, and the dollar will see further strength as investors book profits on their bets against the dollar before year-end.

The euro gained in earlier trading after a survey by the ZEW think-tank showed German analyst and investor sentiment rose more than expected in November. [ID:nDEP003399]
EU safety net description [ID:nLDE65718H] More on how Ireland might tap funds [ID:nLDE6AE1S3] Graphics: Debt distribution http://link.reuters.com/rak65q Bank exposure to Irish debt http://r.reuters.com/fez84q Euro zone struggles with debt http://r.reuters.com/hyb65p

The dollar index, which measures the dollar against a basket of currencies <.DXY>, rose as high as 79.461, its strongest since Sept. 28.

The dollar also hit a six-week high of 83.60 yen , buoyed by a recent rise in U.S. bond yields It broke through resistance on daily Ichimoku charts at 83.17 yen, the bottom of the cloud. The top of the cloud was at 84.13.

Sterling fell 1.1 percent after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said the central bank could do further quantitative easing if necessary. [ID:nLAC005797]

A broad pullback in risk appetite hit higher-yielding, commodity-linked currencies. The U.S. dollar jumped 1.3 percent against the Canadian dollar , while the Australian dollar fell to a more than two-week low amid fears China will tighten monetary policy.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.