💥 Fed cuts sparks mid cap boom! ProPicks AI scores with 4 stocks +23% each. Get October’s update first.Pick Stocks with AI

FOREX-Dollar up after data, still on track for loss in Q2

Published 06/30/2009, 12:30 PM
Updated 06/30/2009, 12:32 PM

(Corrects first sentence to read that "a report showed an unexpected drop," not "a larger-than-expected drop"

* Dollar rises vs euro after U.S. consumer confidence drop

* Dollar still on track for quarterly loss

* Moves exacerbated by month-end, quarter-end flows

(Adds comments, details.)

By Vivianne Rodrigues

NEW YORK, June 30 (Reuters) - The dollar rose versus the euro on Tuesday amid renewed risk aversion after a report showed an unexpected drop in U.S. consumer confidence in June.

The weak confidence report also sent U.S. stocks lower and put a halt to an early sell-off in the greenback. Analysts also mentioned month-, quarter- and half-year end as leading to increased volatility in foreign exchange trading, exacerbating intraday moves in currencies.

The decline in consumer confidence "was a big shocker," said Kathy Lien, a director for currency research at Global Forex Trading in New York. "The weaker confidence number should help the dollar recovery for the rest of the day."

The Conference Board's U.S. consumer confidence index fell in June to 49.3 from a downwardly revised 54.8 in May, the private business research group reported on Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a reading of 55.0.

The confidence index followed a report showing a smaller-than-expected dip in U.S. home prices in April and a separate report on business activity in the U.S. Midwest.

In late morning trading in New York, the euro was down 0.4 percent at $1.4013 after trading as high as $1.4152 earlier, according to Reuters data.

Despite Tuesday's gains versus the euro, the dollar is still on track for its first quarterly decline against the single currency since the first quarter of 2008.

An index measuring the value of the greenback against a basket of major currencies is down about 6 percent for the quarter, its first quarterly drop since the first quarter of 2008. The index was last up 0.5 percent at 80.233.

Investors have sold U.S. dollars recently as gains in stock markets and oil prices reflected an upbeat view for the prospects of global economic recovery and hurt demand for the greenback as a safe haven.

The MSCI global stocks index was on course for its best quarter since its launch in 1988, up 20.9 percent at current prices, while oil earlier hit an 8-month high of $73.38 a barrel.

"The second quarter was great for stocks and there have been signs things are getting better in the financial system," said Meg Browne, a currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York. "Altogether, this is encouraging news and the reaction to the positive outlook in the markets has been to sell the dollar and buy foreign currencies."

Some currencies, such as the Australian dollar, soared during the second quarter. The Australian dollar gained 16.5 percent versus the U.S. dollar in the past three months, its best quarterly performance since it became freely floated in 1983.

On Tuesday, the Australian dollar was down 0.1 percent at $0.8058.

The expectation of global economic improvement gained support from the CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street's so-called fear gauge, which dipped to its lowest level since just before Lehman Brothers collapsed last September.

"The move back in the Vix levels pre-Lehman is a result, a by-product of the overall improvement in outlook," Browne said. (Reporting by Vivianne Rodrigues; Editing by Dan Grebler)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.