NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Dollar turns lower on caution before U.S. data

Published 01/04/2010, 06:29 AM
Updated 01/04/2010, 06:30 AM

* Dollar reverses earlier gains on caution before US data

* Friday's U.S. jobs report is the key focus this week

* Dollar hits 4 mth high vs yen, then pares gains

(Updates prices; changes byline, dateline)

By Jessica Mortimer

LONDON, Jan 4 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped on Monday, reversing earlier gains as caution set in ahead of key U.S. data, leaving investors wary of pushing the U.S. currency up further after it hit a four-month high versus the yen.

Optimism about the prospects for a U.S. recovery have supported the dollar recently but analysts said more evidence of a strengthening economy was needed to justify further gains.

Investors were jittery in a busy week for U.S. data that will culminate in monthly jobs data on Friday.

This week's releases begin with the Institute for Supply Management's December manufacturing index, due at 1500 GMT, which is expected to show a reading of 54.3 versus 53.6 in November.

A euro zone purchasing managers' survey which confirmed the region's manufacturing sector expanded at its fastest rate in 21 months also boosted the euro against the dollar, while better-than-forecast UK data lifted sterling.

"People are coming back after the new year, but the market has been slow to settle back in and there's a reluctance to chase dollar strength in a week which includes U.S. payrolls data," said Daragh Maher, deputy head of FX strategy at Calyon.

By 1116 GMT, the euro was up 0.5 percent against the dollar at $1.4394.

The single currency recovered from earlier falls, which took it as low as $1.4257, testing a key chart support level around $1.4229 where the 200-day moving average sits, and in sight of December's low around $1.4218.

The dollar index, a gauge of the greenback's performance against six other major currencies, fell 0.4 percent to 77.522.

Sterling was up 0.2 percent against the dollar to $1.6211, helped by better-than-expected UK manufacturing PMI and mortgage approvals data.

Against the yen, the dollar was trading down 0.2 percent at 92.80 yen cutting earlier gains which lifted it to a four-month high of 93.22 yen on trading platform EBS. Traders said resistance was seen ahead of its 200-day moving average around 93.60 yen.

Higher longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields underpinned the dollar, particularly against the yen, traders said, with benchmark Treasury yields rising above 3.9 percent on Thursday, in sight of last year's high around 4 percent.

PAYROLLS AWAITED

The dollar has been well-supported since figures early last month showed the U.S. economy shed a much lower-than-expected 11,000 jobs in November, and the dollar index remained not far from a four-month high of 78.449.

This Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report for December is expected to show U.S. employers cut 20,000 jobs, according to economists polled by Reuters.

"Data in the U.S. will be watched closely, starting with the ISM data today, and any strength will help support the dollar," BNP Paribas currency strategist Ian Stannard said.

Data released last week showed the number of U.S. workers filing new applications for jobless benefits unexpectedly fell in the week ending Dec. 26 to the lowest level in about 17 months.

"Following the surprisingly positive November labour market report, which led to the recovery of the dollar in December, further key data will now have to confirm the market view that the U.S. economy is experiencing a sustainable recovery," Commerzbank analysts said in a note to clients. (Reporting by Jessica Mortimer, editing by Mike Peacock)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.