CORRECTED - FOREX-Dollar slips as China rate hike impact wanes

Published 10/20/2010, 09:07 AM
EUR/GBP
-
EUR/JPY
-

(Corrects first paragraph to reflect changes to Reuters data showing dollar index closed marginally lower in New York on Monday compared with Friday)

* Dollar takes breather after surging on China rate rise

* Dollar bounce seen short-lived

* Euro up, Aussie rebounds 1 percent

* Sterling drops after BoE minutes; spending review

By Anirban Nag

LONDON, Oct 20 (Reuters) - The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, as appetite for higher-yielding currencies revived after being jolted by a surprise interest rate hike in China.

The dollar index eased 0.6 percent to 77.717 <.DXY> after climbing more than 1.6 percent the previous day, staying well above a 10-month low of 76.16 struck last week.

Analysts said the market's reaction to the previous day's move by China was overblown, and with the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to ease monetary policy further next month any dollar rebound would be short-lived.

"I think the move itself indicated how excessive the positioning in the market was, but any correction in the dollar will be short and shallow," said Derek Halpenny, European Head of Global Currency Research at BTM-UFJ. "The main driver will be QE from the Fed and that should weigh on the dollar."

Investors had increased their bets against the dollar in recent weeks and had gone long on currencies like the euro and the Australian dollar on heightened expectations the Fed will unveil a second round of quantitative easing.

Those stretched positions had increased chances of a short-covering bounce for the greenback.

"The dollar's move down through September went too far and was overdone. This bounce we saw is part of a healthy correction," said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank.

"The dollar's weakening trend remains intact, as China's rate hike will not be slowing down its economy significantly and this is just a temporary pause in 'risk-on' trades."

The U.S. currency is often seen as a safe haven and gains when appetite for riskier assets or growth-linked currencies suffers.

ON TRACK FOR QE

Several Fed officials indicated on Tuesday the U.S. central bank will soon offer further monetary stimulus, with one saying $100 billion a month in bond buying may be appropriate. [ID:nN19258951].

In the UK, minutes from the Bank of England's last monetary policy committee meeting showed a three-way split, with one member voting for QE. [ID:nBOE004351]

That saw sterling fall to the day's low against the euro and give up some of its gains against the dollar.

The pound edged up against the dollar as UK finance minister George Osborne gave details of the harshest government spending cuts in decades on Wednesday, taking an axe to the welfare state in an effort to reduce a record budget deficit.

Analysts say such cuts could hurt growth and prompt the BOE to keep monetary policy easy, keeping pressure on the pound in the medium term.

The euro rose 0.6 percent to 87.94 pence while the pound edged up to $1.5740 .

The euro was up 0.1 for the day at $1.3836 , steadying from its 1.6 percent slide the previous day. It had fallen sharply as investors trimmed some risk-taking positions after China raised interest rates by 25 basis points, its first such action in nearly three years.

The move spurred concerns that it could mark the start of a more aggressive phase of monetary tightening, dampening Chinese and global growth and denting China's voracious demand for commodities. [ID:nSGE69I0HU].

The euro also gained against the yen , drawing some support from higher Chinese shares <.SSEC>.

But the dollar dipped 0.3 percent to 81.24 yen , not far from its 15-year low of 80.88 yen.

The higher-yielding Australian dollar rose 1 percent to a session high of $0.9790 regaining some ground after sliding more than 2 percent on Tuesday.

(Additional reporting by Tamawa Desai; Editing by Catherine Evans, John Stonestreet)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.