🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

FOREX-Dollar mostly lower as U.S. bank earnings eyed

Published 10/12/2009, 01:58 PM
Updated 10/12/2009, 02:03 PM
GS
-
GC
-
CL
-

* Euro recovers to trade higher vs dollar

* Investors brace for better-than-expected U.S. earnings

* Trading volatile on U.S. federal government holiday

* Sterling slammed on report rates to stay low (Updates prices, adds quote, details, changes byline)

By Steven C. Johnson

NEW YORK, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The dollar was mostly lower on Monday as investors shunned it for higher-yielding currencies and assets on the belief that corporate quarterly earnings, including from some top U.S. banks, will exceed expectations.

Though the relationship has weakened lately, some investors still sell the dollar against other currencies when optimism grows and buy assets such as stocks and commodities instead.

The price of U.S. crude oil rose 2.2 percent and Wall Street extended recent gains, though volume was light and many traders took the day off with the U.S. government closed for Columbus Day and Canada out for Thanksgiving.

Tokyo was also shuttered for a one-day holiday.

"It's a quiet start to the week given the holiday and the market is positioning for some of the financial earnings," said Joe Manimbo, a currency trader at Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington.

Of particular interest will be results from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc slated for later this week.

The euro rose 0.4 percent to $1.4787 and 0.5 percent to 132.88 yen, while the dollar fell 0.6 percent to 1.0252 Swiss francs.

The dollar was little changed at 89.83 yen but sterling hit a five-month low at $1.5729 after a report said UK interest rates would stay at rock-bottom levels until 2011 and not hit 2 percent until 2014.

The pound was last down 0.3 percent at $1.5788.

The dollar got a boost on Friday and bond yields rose after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated that the central bank will be ready to raise interest rates and withdraw money from the system once an economic recovery takes hold.

But those moves had run out of steam on Monday, with the euro briefly moving back above $1.48, within striking distance of the 2009 high around $1.4842.

"As investors rethink the Bernanke comments, they ponder what might cause an acceleration of (interest rate increases) from the Fed and realize that there is nothing to do so," said Andrew Wilkinson, senior analyst at Interactive Brokers Group in Greenwich, Connecticut.

He said that means the euro should retest annual highs on its way to $1.50, a level not seen since August of 2008.

The same appears to hold for the Canadian dollar, which hit a fresh 14-month high against the greenback on Monday. The U.S. dollar was last down 0.8 percent at C$1.0340.

Some investors fear record U.S. deficits and the risk of inflation posed by super-loose monetary and fiscal policy will undermine the dollar and push up long-term interest rates.

That also worries foreign central banks who fear that their own economies will suffer if their currencies get too strong against the U.S. dollar and choke off exports.

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard added to the debate on Sunday, saying medium-term inflation risks in the U.S. economy could be higher than thought.

(Additional reporting by Nick Olivari) (Editing by Theodore d'Afflisio)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.