FOREX-Dollar gains; euro drops on Irish economy concerns

Published 10/04/2010, 10:43 AM
Updated 10/04/2010, 10:48 AM

* Investors trim short dollar positions but weakness intact

* Euro slips vs dollar, earlier climb loses momentum

* Dlr/yen nears pre-intervention levels, BOJ awaited

* Dlr falls to 2-1/2 yr low vs Swiss franc

(Recasts, updates prices, adds details)

NEW YORK, Oct 4 (Reuters) - The dollar rallied on Monday, recovering from early declines as renewed concerns about the stability of the euro zone overshadowed concerns the Federal Reserve may further ease U.S. monetary policy.

Ireland's economy will crawl to a virtual halt this year, defying government hopes of modest growth, the Irish central bank said on Monday, underlining the challenge the country's leaders face to revive its fortunes. [ID:nLDE69313N].

Headlines from other peripheral euro zone countries Portugual and Greece also hindered the euro with investors and speculators said to be trimming long positions after the single currency hit a 6-1/2-month high above $1.38 on electronic trading platform EBS.

Against the yen, the dollar hovered near a 15-year low, fuelling speculation that Japan may re-enter the market to weaken its currency.

"The euro has come a very long way in a very short period of time and certainly Ireland and the peripheral euro zone country issues have not gone away," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange Inc in Washington. When those issues "come back in the spotlight, they are used to take some profits on the euro."

The euro was down 0.7 percent to $1.3698, retreating from a high of $1.3809 on EBS with stop-loss selling triggered around $1.3675 on to the session low of $1.3666 on EBS. Good-sized bids were lined up above $1.3650 and likely to support, traders said.

Portugal's Finance Minister Fernando Teixeira dos Santos said on Monday the country has to consolidate its finances swiftly and in a sustainable manner and all political parties have to act together to approve new austerity measures and avert a debt crisis. [ID:nLIS002473]

That news came as Greece, in its draft budget on Monday, showed it expects the economy to contract by 2.6 percent next year after a 4.0 percent slump in 2010, staying in recession for a third straight year [ID:nATH005716].

BOJ MEETS

The euro declines helped push the dollar up against a currency basket. The dollar index <.DXY> rose 0.4 percent to 78.361, up from 78.029 on Friday, its weakest since January.

This week sees the release of crucial U.S. jobs data while the central banks of Australia, the euro zone, Japan and the United Kingdom hold policy meetings. The International Monetary Fund and Group of Seven finance ministers also meet this week.

Given these risks, analysts said investors were likely to trim their short dollar positions even though many in the market expect the prospect of more U.S. quantitative easing will continue to hurt the currency.

The euro briefly extended losses against the dollar after data showed pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose to a four-month high, indicating the housing market was regaining some stability. [ID:nN04108403]. The data prompted hope of less need for additional quantitative easing though its effect was fleeting.

Despite Monday's gains, the dollar's downward trend would remain intact. The dollar fell to its lowest in 2-1/2 years against the Swiss franc , falling to 0.9705 francs before recovering to 0.9737 francs.

The dollar traded at 83.34 yen, up 0.2 percent, but retreating from 83.88 yen hit in Asian time on EBS. Traders said stop-loss orders were suspected under 83.00 yen.

The Bank of Japan began on Monday a two-day policy meeting and was expected to extend a cheap fund-supply tool to help shore up the struggling economy. [ID:nTOE69003G]

Some market participants cited speculation any BOJ stimulus steps may be followed by more yen-selling intervention. Some analysts expect Japanese authorities to step in to sell yen if the dollar falls under 83 yen, as they did last month. (Reporting by Nick Olivari, Additional reporting by Naomi Tajitsu in London, Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.