🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

FOREX-Dollar falls sharply as buoyant mood continues

Published 05/12/2009, 08:13 AM
Updated 05/12/2009, 08:16 AM
C
-

* Dollar index at 4-month low, euro hits 7-week high vs dlr

* Strong UK data supports sterling, high-yielders

* Persistent optimism on global economy fuels risk rally

(Adds quotes, updates prices, changes byline)

By Jessica Mortimer

LONDON, May 12 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to a four-month low against a currency basket on Tuesday as solid UK data fanned optimism that the global recession is easing, boosting sterling, as well as the euro and other perceived higher-risk currencies.

Stronger-than-expected UK retail sales, housing market and industrial production data pushed sterling up well over 1 percent versus the dollar, while the euro also hit a seven-week high against the U.S. currency.

The higher-yielding Australian and New Zealand dollars benefited from the rally in riskier assets, which helped to push oil prices to a six-month high just below $60 a barrel, while U.S. stock futures also edged higher.

"The UK data is highlighting that the worst is probably behind us, which is giving a bit of a bid to riskier assets," RBC Capital Markets currency strategist Christian Lawrence said.

"It makes sense to see sterling rallying so much after the data, while the Australian and New Zealand dollars have been bid for most of the session," he added.

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Monday that the global economy is at an "inflection point" and could turn the corner soon.

At 1154 GMT the dollar index was down 0.8 percent on the day, hitting a four-month low of 82.138.

The dollar index is well on track for its third consecutive close below the 200-day moving average and is below the longer-term technical support -- now resistance -- of the 200-day moving average at 82.755.

The euro rose 0.9 percent to a seven-week high of $1.3695. It is firmly on track for a third daily close above the 200-day moving average and second straight week above the 200-week moving average.

Sterling was up 1.4 percent on the day at $1.5336, its highest since Jan. 9.

The Australian dollar was up 0.9 percent at $0.7647, while the New Zealand dollar gained 0.6 percent to $0.6049.

Against the yen, the euro rose 0.4 percent to 132.93 yen and the dollar fell 0.4 percent against the yen at 97.18 yen.

"GREEN SHOOTS"

UK surveys overnight showed retail sales rising at their fastest rate in three years last month, while house prices declined at their slowest pace in 15 months.

Adding to this, data also showed UK industrial and manufacturing output fell less than forecast in March.

Investors also took heart from data from China overnight, which showed investment spending surged even though exports fell more steeply than expected.

"In the bigger picture not much has changed. The green shoots still have roots," said Maurice Pomery, managing director of Strategic Alpha in London.

Michael Hart, currency strategist at Citigroup in London advised caution, however, noting the numbers are merely "less catastrophic" and that the currency market's technical picture is triggering much of the dollar selling from model funds.

Australia's government unveiled on Tuesday its largest deficit on record, cut its growth predictions and raised its jobless forecasts, though this failed to put a significant dent into the global risk rally.

(Reporting by Jessica Mortimer; additional reporting by Jamie McGeever; editing by David Stamp)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.