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FOREX-Dollar climbs vs yen as retail investor flows eyed

Published 05/28/2009, 02:14 AM
Updated 05/28/2009, 02:24 AM
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* Dollar gains 1 pct on yen as yen tumbles across board

* Moody's affirms U.S. credit rating, supporting dollar

* Talk of yen selling related to Japan investment trusts

* Kiwi climbs as NZ budget soothes credit rating worries

By Masayuki Kitano

TOKYO, May 28 (Reuters) - The yen tumbled across the board on Thursday, hurt by talk of Japanese retail demand for overseas assets, while the dollar rose 1 percent against the Japanese currency, aided in part by Moody's affirming its top credit rating for the United States.

The dollar jumped to its highest in more than a week against the yen and edged up against a basket of currencies, building on gains made on Wednesday after the second of three large U.S. Treasury auctions this week drew solid investor demand.

The greenback fell steeply last week, hitting its lowest in five months against the euro, on concerns about the sustainability of the U.S. government's top credit rating after Standard & Poor's gave a negative outlook to Britain's AAA rank.

Moody's Investors Services affirmed its top rating for the world's largest economy on Wednesday, but warned that if the U.S. failed to reduce debt levels once the economy returned to growth then its top grade could come under pressure.

"Sovereign risk concern is fading," said Masafumi Yamamoto, head of FX strategy at Royal Bank of Scotland in Tokyo.

"But between the dollar and yen there is no strong contrast and this is purely a technical movement within the range as the market failed to break the lower boundary of the range."

The dollar rose 1.4 percent to 96.65 yen, pulling away from a two-month low of 93.85 yen hit last week which is roughly the base of a trading range stretching to 100 yen that has been in place since February.

The greenback touched its highest in a week at $1.3793 per euro, after climbing about a cent on Wednesday helped by a European Central Bank official comment that euro zone rates could go lower. But it had retreated to $1.3830 by 0600 GMT.

DOLLAR FORTUNES MIXED, YEN FORTUNES FALLING

The dollar failed to follow through on gains against commodity-related currencies, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars both rising on the day and climbing steeply against the yen. Sterling too rose sharply against the yen.

Analysts and traders in Tokyo said much of the Japanese currency's fall stemmed from talk about retail investor outflows.

On Wednesday, Japanese retail investors poured $2.4 billion into new mutual funds investing in global semiconductor firms, banks and U.S. junk bonds, in the biggest single day of fund launches this year.

Such investment trusts that target overseas assets can generate yen-selling flows, which often hit the market soon after they are launched.

"There is lots of buying by Japanese players. Since the investment trusts launched yesterday attracted a lot of money, there is talk that there could be some yen selling related to that," said a trader for a major Japanese bank.

The Australian dollar rose 1.5 percent to 75.00 yen, the euro rose 1.2 percent to 132.62 yen and sterling climbed more than 1 percent its highest since early November at 153.76 yen.

Growing hopes that the worst of the U.S. and global economic recessions may be over has helped spur a rally in currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars in the past few months.

The New Zealand dollar gained 0.6 percent to $0.6189 after S&P said it had affirmed New Zealand's credit rating and revised the outlook to stable following the country's annual budget on Thursday.

The market had been concerned about the risk of a credit rating downgrade after the budget and the kiwi climbed 2 percent against the faltering yen to 59.67 yen once the rating issue was out of the way. (Additional reporting by Charlotte Cooper; Editing by Michael Watson)

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