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Forex - Yen trends weaker ahead of CPI, household spending

Published 09/29/2016, 07:02 PM
Updated 09/29/2016, 07:08 PM
© Reuters.  Yen weaker as CPI ahead
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Investing.com - The yen edged weaker in early Asia on Friday with a solid regional data day ahead from consumer prices and household spending in Japan to the Caixin manufacturing PMI from China.

USD/JPY changed hands at 101.19, up 0.16%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7635, flat.

In Japan, a busy day with household spending for August seen down 1.0% month-on-month and for a drop of 2.5% year-on-year. As well, national core CPI is expected down 0.4% year-on-year with national CPI is expected to show a decline of 0.5% for August.

Industrial production in Japan for August is seen up 0.5% provisionally.

In Australia HIA new home sales for September are due month-on-month, with a fall of 9.7% the previous month and housing credit is slated for August after a 0.5% gain the previous month as well as private sector credit seen up 0.5% in August month-on-month.

Then comes the Caixin manufacturing PMI for September ahead of holidays in China next week with a 50.1 level expected, nudging up from 50.0 the previous month.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was last quoted at 95.43.

Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, Fed Governor Jerome Powell, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Kansas City Fed President Esther George are all scheduled to speak during the day.

There is also an appearance by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who is due to speak via video conference at the Minority Bankers Forum in Kansas City at 4:00PM ET (20:00GMT).

Yellen told Congress on Wednesday that the central bank does not have a "fixed timetable" for modifying its monetary policy. However, she added that continued job creation at its current pace would cause the economy to overheat and, in that case, the Fed could be forced to raise rates faster than expected.

Markets are currently pricing in around a 52% chance of a rate hike at December's meeting, according to Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

Overnight, the dollar trimmed gains against the other major currencies on Thursday, after the release of weak U.S. pending home sales data dampened optimism sparked by strong U.S. economic reports released earlier in the day.

The U.S. National Association of Realtors said its pending home sales index fell 2.4% last month, missing expectations for an increase of 0.3%. The index reading at 108.5 is the second lowest this year after January’s 105.4.

Official data earlier showed that the third estimate of U.S. second quarter gross domestic product showed growth of 1.4%, revised from the previous reading of a 1.1% expansion. Analysts had expected a growth rate of 1.3%.

Separately, the U.S. Department of Labor said initial jobless claims in the week ending September 24 increased by 3,000 to 254,000 from the previous week’s total of 251,000. Analysts expected jobless claims to rise by 9,000 to 260,000 last week.

Demand for the safe-haven yen weakened after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said it agreed to reduce output to a range of 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day, a reduction of 0.7-2.2% from OPEC estimates of its current output at 33.24 million bpd. It was the first such deal since 2008.

However, the enthusiasm sparked by the deal was short-lived due to skepticism among analysts regarding the limited details of the agreement.

The Japanese currency was also under pressure after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda earlier said that the central bank will pursue the most appropriate yield curve to achieve its 2% inflation target.

He added that the BoJ is ready to ease policy further by cutting its short and long-term interest rate targets or by expanding asset purchases.

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