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Forex - Yen holds weaker in Asia as investors eye policy steps

Published 04/12/2016, 08:44 PM
Updated 04/12/2016, 08:45 PM
© Reuters.  Yen holds weaker in Asia
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Investing.com - The yen traded weaker in Asia Wednesday with speculation centered on the possible next steps by policymakers in the country's long-running battle with deflation.

USD/JPY changed hands at 108.62, up 0.63%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7682, surging 1.15%.

In Japan, the corporate goods price index for March fell 3.8%, more than the expected 3.5% fall seen year-on-year.

In Australia, the Westpac consumer sentiment survey for April showed a drop of 4.0%, on the back of a fall of 2.2% the previous month. The fall in consumer sentiment is surprising given the Reserve Bank's outlook for growth to be supported by a rise in household consumption.

"The Reserve Bank board next meets May 3. Despite this disappointing read on sentiment we expect the board will keep rates on hold for
another month. We retain our call that rates will remain on hold for the remainder of 2016," Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said.

In China, March trade data is due with a surplus of $30.85 billion seen, narrower than the $32.59 billion seen last month. Exports are seen up 2.5% year-on-year, while imports likely dropped 10.2%.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.09% to 94.05.

Overnight, the dollar rose against the other major currencies on Tuesday, after the International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecast for the fourth time in the past year, boosting demand for safer assets.

The IMF forecast that the global economy would grow at 3.2% in 2016 compared to its previous forecast of 3.4% in January.

The IMF also said that weaker growth could leave the global economy more vulnerable to shocks such as currency depreciations or worsening geopolitical conflicts.

But the greenback remained under pressure as recent dovish comments by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen prompted investors to push back expectations on the timing of the next interest rate increase.

Lower interest rates make the dollar less attractive to yield seeking investors.
Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. import prices rose by 0.2% in March, disappointing expectations for an increase of 1.0%. Import prices fell 0.4% in February, whose figure was revised from a previously estimated 0.3% downtick.

Meanwhile, Japan’s chief cabinet secretary said Monday the government was closely monitoring the foreign exchange market and added that the moves in the yen were one-sided and speculative.

But investors stuck to the view that Japan would refrain from any direct action to stem the yen’s gains until at least after this week's G20 meetings in Washington.

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