Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Forex - USD/JPY weekly outlook: October 13 - 17

Published 10/12/2014, 05:37 AM
Dollar ends week lower against safe haven yen
USD/JPY
-
EUR/JPY
-
DX
-

Investing.com - The dollar was lower against the yen on Friday as concerns over the outlook for global economic growth bolstered investor demand for the traditional safe haven yen.

USD/JPY was down 0.17% to 107.64 late Friday, not far from Thursday’s three week lows of 107.52. The pair ended the week with losses of 1.97%.

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, ended the week down 1% at 85.92. The move ended a 12-week rally that saw the index gain more than 8% since early July.

Market sentiment was hit by fears that Germany, the euro zone’s largest economy is being dragged into a recession after recent data indicated unexpected weakness in manufacturing and exports.

Steep declines in commodity-price declines also fuelled fears that the global economy is slowing. Brent crude prices fell to their lowest level in almost four years on Friday.

Earlier in the week, the International Monetary Fund cut its forecasts for global growth in 2014 and 2015 and warned that global growth may never reach its pre-crisis levels ever again.

The dollar fell to three week lows against the yen on Thursday after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting showed that some officials were concerned over a slowdown in global growth and the impact of the stronger dollar on the U.S. inflation outlook.

"Some participants expressed concern that the persistent shortfall of economic growth and inflation in the euro area could lead to a further appreciation of the dollar and have adverse effects on the U.S. external sector," the minutes said.

The minutes prompted investors to trim back expectations for an earlier-than-expected hike in U.S. interest rates.

On Friday, Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said weaker-than-expected global growth could prompt it to slow the pace of eventual interest rate hikes.

Elsewhere, the euro fell to five week lows against the firmer yen on Friday, with EUR/JPY down 0.72% to 135.93 in late trade.

In the week ahead, investors will be awaiting U.S. data on retail sales and industrial production for fresh indications on the strength of the economic recovery. Markets in both the U.S. and Japan are closed for holidays on Monday.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. The guide skips Tuesday, as there are no relevant events on this day.

Monday, October 13

Markets in Japan are to remain closed for a national holiday.

Meanwhile, markets in the U.S. markets are to be closed for Columbus Day.

Wednesday, October 15

The U.S. is to release data on retail sales, the government measure of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. The country is also to report on producer prices and manufacturing activity in the New York region.

Thursday, October 16

The U.S. is to release the weekly report on initial jobless claims as well as data on industrial production and manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region.

Friday, October 17

The U.S. is to round up the week with reports on building permits and housing starts, as well as a preliminary report on consumer sentiment.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.