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Forex - USD/CHF weekly outlook: March 29 – April 2

Published 03/28/2010, 08:06 AM
USD/CHF
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Investing.com – During volatile trade last week, the Swiss franc fell to a 2-week low against the U.S. dollar before surging on Friday to erase some of the recent losses.

USD/CHF reached 1.0652 at the close of trade on Friday after retreating from Thursday's high of 1.0751, the pair's highest rate since March 10.

The pair is likely to find support at 1.0507, the low of March 17, and resistance at 1.0898, the high of Feb. 19.

Also last week,  the Swissy rose to a record high against the euro, amid speculation the Swiss National Bank was relaxing attempts to control the currency, in addition to fears over Greece's debt crisis.

Next week, a series of private reports will provide key data on the overall health of Switzerland's economy, the most important of which is the closely watched KOF Economic Barometer.

The United States, meanwhile, is scheduled to publish a key report on unemployment claims. Industry groups are also set to release data on the U.S. job market, manufacturing sector and consumer confidence.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect USD/CHF.

Monday, March 29

The U.S. will release data on consumer inflation, as well as reports on personal spending and personal income.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, meanwhile, is set to speak at an event in Washington, D.C. Traders will scrutinize his comments for clues to future shifts in monetary policy.

Tuesday, March 30

The financial services company UBS will release its Swiss consumption indicator, a composite index based on 5 consumer-based economic indicators.

Later in the day, Standard & Poor's will release its U.S. house price index and an industry group, the Conference Board, will publish data on U.S. consumer confidence.

Wednesday, March 31

The KOF research agency will release its Economic Barometer, a composite index based on 12 indicators for the Swiss economy.

Also Wednesday, the data processing firm ADP will publish a closely watched report on U.S. nonfarm employment change. Canada will later release a monthly report on its GDP, the broadest measure of economic activity.

Thursday, April 1

The Swiss SVME purchasing managers' association will release its latest purchasing managers' index, a leading indicator of economic health.

Also Thursday, the U.S. will publish an important weekly report on unemployment claims, and an industry group will publish a manufacturing PMI for the country.

Friday, April 2

Switzerland will hold a bank holiday to mark Good Friday.

The U.S. will end the week with the publication of key data on non-farm employment change and the country's unemployment rate. The country will also release a report on average hourly earnings.

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