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Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: September 2 - 6

Published 09/01/2013, 09:05 AM
NZD/USD
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Investing.com - The New Zealand dollar ended Friday’s session at a seven-week low against its U.S. counterpart, as the prospects for a U.S. military strike against Syria boosted demand for the safe-haven greenback.

Ongoing uncertainty over the timing of the Federal Reserve’s widely expected reduction in monthly bond purchases also weighed.

NZD/USD hit 0.7722 on Friday, the pair’s lowest since July 8; the pair subsequently consolidated at 0.7726 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.57% for the day and 1.05% lower for the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.7698, the low from July 8 and resistance at 0.7840, Thursday’s high.

Concerns over a possible U.S. military intervention mounted after U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Friday that the U. S. would punish Syrian President Bashar al-Assad for a "brutal and flagrant" chemical weapons attack that killed nearly 1,500 people in Damascus.

Meanwhile, in the U.S., the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan revised consumer sentiment index for August released Friday rose to 82.0 from a preliminary reading 80.0, beating expectations for an uptick to 80.5.

Also Friday, a widely-watched Chicago purchasing managers' index rose to 53.0 this month from 52.3 in July, in line with expectations.

The data came one day after a government report showed that U.S. second quarter growth was revised sharply higher, indicating that the economic recovery is on track.

The Commerce Department said gross domestic product expanded at an annual rate of 2.5% in the three months to June, above expectations for growth of 2.2% and up from a preliminary estimate of 1.7%.

The upbeat data reinforced the view that the Fed could taper down its bond purchases at its next policy meeting amid increasing signs of a recovery in the U.S. economy.

The central bank is scheduled to meet September 17-18 to review the economy and assess policy.

In the week ahead, markets in the U.S. are to remain closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday. Investors will be closely watching Friday’s key U.S. nonfarm payrolls report.

Market players have closely been looking out for U.S. data reports recently to gauge if they will strengthen or weaken the case for the Fed to reduce its bond purchases.

Any improvement in the U.S. economy was likely to reinforce the view that the central bank will begin to taper its bond purchase program in the coming months.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, September 2

Markets in the U.S. are to remain closed for the Labor Day holiday.

Tuesday, September 3

The Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity in the U.S., a leading indicator of economic health.

Wednesday, September 4

The U.S. is to release data on the trade balance, the difference in value between imports and exports.

Thursday, September 5

The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report on private sector job creation, as well as the weekly government report on initial jobless claims.

Later Thursday, the ISM is to release data on non-manufacturing activity in the U.S., a leading indicator of economic health.

Friday, September 6

The U.S. is to round up the week with closely watched government data on nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate, as well as data on average hourly earnings.

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