Forex - GBP/USD weekly outlook: October 25-29

Published 10/24/2010, 12:06 PM
GBP/USD
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Investing.com – The week beginning October 25 comes after a week which saw the pound close lower against the U.S. dollar amid increased risk aversion after China’s surprise rate hike and ahead of the weekend’s G20 summit.

GBP/USD hit 1.5649 on Wednesday, the pair’s lowest since September 24; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5680 by close of trade on Friday, plunging 1.84% over the week.

Cable is likely to find support at 1.5502, the low of October 21 and resistance at 1.5848, last Thursday’s high.

The pound tumbled on Tuesday after China’s central bank unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate for the first time in three years, sparking fears over a slowdown in global economic growth. However the dollar pared gains on Wednesday, amid a sense that the previous day’s selloff was overdone.

But the pound dropped lower in the run up to the G20 meetings which focused on addressing simmering tensions between countries over exchange rate differences.

Following the meetings, leaders pledged to shun competitive currency devaluations, but pulled up short of setting targets to reduce trade imbalances that are overshadowing prospects for global growth.

Next week, the U.S. is to publish official data relating to the housing sector as well as data on consumer confidence, manufacturing, and GDP. The country will also publish a key weekly report on jobless claims while the chairman of the Federal Reserve is due to speak. Meanwhile, the U.K. is to release preliminary data on GDP as well as house price data.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, October 25


The U.S. is to publish official data on existing home sales, a leading indicator of economic health while Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is to speak at a public engagement. His comments will be closely scrutinized for any clues to the future direction of monetary policy.

Meanwhile, the U.K. is to release key data on mortgage approvals, a leading indicator of demand in the housing market.

Tuesday, October 26

The U.S. is to publish data on consumer confidence, a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for approximately 70% of all economic activity. The country is also due to release both industry data and official data on house prices as well as a report on manufacturing activity in the Richmond area.

Meanwhile, the U.K. is to release preliminary data on its gross domestic product, the leading indicator of economic growth.

Wednesday, October 27

The U.S. is to publish government data on durable goods orders, a leading indicator of production. The country is also to publish official data on new home sales, a leading indicator of health in the housing sector as well as a report on crude oil inventories.

Thursday, October 28


The U.S. is to publish key weekly data on initial jobless claims, a leading indicator of economic health, as well as information on natural gas stockpiles.

Meanwhile, the U.K. is to produce industry data on house prices and retail sales. Later in the day, market research group Gfk will publish a report on U.K. consumer confidence.

Friday, October 29


The U.S. is to round up the week by producing preliminary data on GDP, the leading indicator of economic growth. The country is also to publish a report on manufacturing activity in Chicago, while the University of Michigan is to release revised data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.

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